- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FDDT | KFAA | WFAA
The Detroit Pistons visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Pistons vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 39-29 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 32-36 against the spread.
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Pistons vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Detroit Pistons | O | ||
| Dallas Mavericks | U |
Mavericks vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Pistons Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 63.6% confidence.
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Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 away games (+19.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 29 away games (+18.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 away games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 59 games (+16.97 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games (+14.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+15.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 49 of their last 82 games (+14.28 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+13.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 75 games (+11.67 Units / 13% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 39-29 (+7.05 Units / 9.15% ROI).
- 39-31 against the Moneyline (+11 Units / 9.1% ROI)
- 34-34 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -4.42% ROI)
- 34-34 against the Under for game total points (-3.4 Units / -4.42% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 32-36 (-7.6 Units / -9.87% ROI).
- 33-37 against the Moneyline (-0.05 Units / -0.03% ROI)
- 38-32 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 3.64% ROI)
- 32-38 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -12.73% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 50 games at home (-22.07 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 43 games at home (-20.65 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 61 games (-19.00 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 35 games at home (-18.68 Units / -46% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 56 games (-18.65 Units / -29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 69 games (-26.10 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 63 games (-25.15 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 55 games (-21.85 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 62 games (-19.25 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 80 games (-18.20 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Detroit Pistons vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Pistons were 7-25 (.219) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Pistons were 1-14 (.067) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Mavericks are undefeated (16-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .897
The Mavericks are 23-4 (.852) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702
The Mavericks were 22-10 (.688) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Mavericks are 20-10 (.667) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .591
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 10.8 fast break points per game (758 points/70 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Pistons have averaged 19.4 fast break points per game (1,355 points/70 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,849 assists/ 1,078 TOs) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks averaged 119.2 points per game (9,772 points/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Mavericks averaged 48.0 points in the paint per game (3,932 points/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Mavericks have 22.8 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pistons have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,541 rebounds/70 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Pistons have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,098 steals/152 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Pistons have averaged 5.3 blocks per game (369 blocks/70 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks have blocked 802 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Mavericks have blocked 396 shots on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th most among NBA teams
The Mavericks have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (387 blocks/70 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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