- The Nuggets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
- Watch the game on FDDT | ALT
The Detroit Pistons visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Pistons vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 17-13 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 11-17 against the spread.
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Pistons vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Detroit Pistons | O | ||
| Denver Nuggets | U |
Nuggets vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 70.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Pistons Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 59.0% confidence.
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Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 48 of their last 74 games (+20.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 away games (+19.94 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+13.64 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1Q Spread in 49 of their last 83 games (+9.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+13.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+12.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+12.27 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+10.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.80 Units / 31% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 17-13 (+2.7 Units / 7.92% ROI).
- 14-17 against the Moneyline (+2.6 Units / 7.33% ROI)
- 16-13 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 4.99% ROI)
- 13-16 against the Under for game total points (-4.6 Units / -13.49% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 11-17 (-7.7 Units / -24.14% ROI).
- 16-13 against the Moneyline (-7.4 Units / -11.31% ROI)
- 19-10 against the Over for game total points (+8 Units / 25.08% ROI)
- 10-19 against the Under for game total points (-10.9 Units / -34.17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 34 of their last 73 games (-35.30 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 82 games (-31.20 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 44 games (-23.50 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 51 games (-22.30 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 63 games (-20.70 Units / -29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 78 games (-25.10 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 61 games (-18.75 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 63 games (-15.27 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 73 games (-14.85 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 55 games (-14.63 Units / -25% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Detroit Pistons vs. Denver Nuggets
- Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Pistons are 7-84 (.077) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .365
The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Pistons are 18-57 (.240) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547
The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Nuggets are 7-3 (.700) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
The Nuggets are 31-14 (.689) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have averaged 15.4 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-highest in the NBA.
The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Nuggets are 27-13 (.675) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .449
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Pistons had an eFG% of 53% last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,317 assists/ 1,415 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Pistons averaged 13.2 second chance points per game (1,084 points/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 15.4 assists per game (446 assists/29 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5
The Nuggets have averaged 20.0 fast break points per game (580 points/29 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (115 assists/ 40 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,802 assists/ 1,242 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 6.6 steals per game (745 steals/113 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
The Pistons have averaged 6.9 steals per game (214 steals/31 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.5
The Pistons have averaged 6.4 steals per game (339 steals/53 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
The Pistons have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (281 blocks/60 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,068 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (132 blocks/29 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams
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