Pistons vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 29

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDDT | FDIN

The Detroit Pistons visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Indianapolis, IN, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pistons vs Pacers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 24-21 against the spread, while the Pacers are 22-21 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons O
Indiana Pacers U

Pacers vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Wednesday‘s game with 78.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Pacers.

Pacers vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.8% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 76 games (+21.24 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 away games (+17.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 79 games (+17.68 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 82 games (+16.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+14.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+18.45 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 79 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 97 games (+12.99 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 67 games (+12.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+12.30 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 24-21 (+0.9 Units / 1.78% ROI).

  • 23-23 against the Moneyline (+10.3 Units / 17.68% ROI)
  • 23-21 against the Over for game total points (-0.1 Units / -0.2% ROI)
  • 21-23 against the Under for game total points (-4.3 Units / -8.5% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 22-21 (-1.1 Units / -2.22% ROI).

  • 25-20 against the Moneyline (+2.05 Units / 2.3% ROI)
  • 24-19 against the Over for game total points (+3.1 Units / 6.26% ROI)
  • 19-24 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -14.95% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 97 games (-27.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 97 games (-25.12 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 73 games (-19.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 90 games (-18.25 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 93 games (-18.10 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 76 games (-33.05 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 76 games (-27.35 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 2Q Spread in 34 of their last 81 games (-18.97 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 78 games (-16.35 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 78 games (-15.42 Units / -17% ROI)

Jump to:

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons are 19-102 (.157) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .453

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pistons were 5-33 (.132) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Pacers are 10-2 (.833) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-5th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed 13.7 made three-pointers per game this season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 17-1 (.944) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .755

The Pacers are 43-23 (.652) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Pacers were 9-5 (.643) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pistons have averaged 9.7 fast break points per game (446 points/46 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Pistons have averaged 18.0 fast break points per game (826 points/46 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (2,359 assists/ 1,522 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.6 steals per game (403 steals/61 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pistons have averaged 7.4 steals per game (339 steals/46 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 6.8 steals per game (870 steals/128 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,583 rebounds/45 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Pacers have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (714 blocks/127 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pacers allowed 30.5 points in the paint per game (2,504 points/82 games) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.4


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