Pistons vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 17

  • The Pistons are -7.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDDT | GCSE

The Detroit Pistons visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA, USA.

The Pistons are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Pistons vs Pelicans Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 38-28 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 27-40 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons-7.5 -110O 232.5 -110-295
New Orleans Pelicans +7.5 -110U 232.5 -110+230

Pelicans vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 59.0% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 away games (+19.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 42 games (+17.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 57 games (+17.12 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 27 away games (+16.30 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 away games (+15.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 63 games (+15.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+15.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 56 games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.20 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 38-28 (+7.15 Units / 9.55% ROI).

  • 37-31 against the Moneyline (+9 Units / 7.73% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.41% ROI)
  • 33-33 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.41% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 27-40 (-16.95 Units / -22.68% ROI).

  • 18-50 against the Moneyline (-28.65 Units / -32.28% ROI)
  • 38-29 against the Over for game total points (+6.1 Units / 8.16% ROI)
  • 29-38 against the Under for game total points (-12.8 Units / -17.11% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 83 games (-38.95 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 89 games (-27.12 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 89 games (-25.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 66 games (-25.54 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 59 games (-24.30 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 67 games (-25.95 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 61 games (-22.85 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 53 games (-21.65 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-20.65 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 55 games (-20.10 Units / -32% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Pistons were 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pistons were 3-36 (.077) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Pistons were 1-14 (.067) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Pelicans are 1-21 (.045) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .295

The Pelicans are 8-33 (.195) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Pistons have averaged 53.7 rebounds/game this season — 7th-highest in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 22-55 (.286) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Pistons have averaged 52.2 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-highest in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 6-18 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .393

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 10.9 fast break points per game (738 points/68 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pistons have averaged 19.8 fast break points per game (673 points/34 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2

The Pistons averaged 13.2 second chance points per game (1,084 points/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 17.0 fast break points per game (1,158 points/68 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Pelicans averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,436 points/7,164 shots) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Pelicans have averaged 15.8 second chance points per game (1,075 points/68 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pelicans had 22.8 free throw attempts per game last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,463 rebounds/68 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pistons have blocked 352 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Pistons have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,084 steals/150 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 9.1 steals per game (676 steals/74 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pelicans averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pelicans have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,188 rebounds/150 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pelicans have allowed a TS% of 53% this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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