Pistons vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 30

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDDT | FDSN

The Detroit Pistons visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pistons vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 41-31 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 34-38 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday‘s game with 78.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 57.2% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 63 games (+17.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 away games (+17.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 63 games (+16.72 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 45 games (+23.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 45 games (+18.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 38 games (+14.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 41-31 (+6.85 Units / 8.41% ROI).

  • 42-32 against the Moneyline (+11.35 Units / 8.42% ROI)
  • 37-35 against the Over for game total points (-1.5 Units / -1.84% ROI)
  • 35-37 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 34-38 (-7.85 Units / -9.63% ROI).

  • 42-32 against the Moneyline (-24.45 Units / -11.47% ROI)
  • 41-33 against the Over for game total points (+4.7 Units / 5.77% ROI)
  • 33-41 against the Under for game total points (-12.1 Units / -14.86% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 84 games (-32.50 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 99 games (-28.95 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 98 games (-21.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 45 games (-20.60 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 2Q Spread in 38 of their last 89 games (-20.30 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 67 games (-27.45 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 73 games (-26.45 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 59 games (-22.10 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 66 games (-21.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 61 games (-20.50 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons were 7-25 (.219) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pistons were 5-33 (.132) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Timberwolves are 86-47 (.647) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves are 44-14 (.759) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Timberwolves are 51-16 (.761) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .693

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 10.6 fast break points per game (788 points/74 games) in the first half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pistons have averaged 19.1 fast break points per game (1,416 points/74 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,073 assists/ 665 TOs) in the first half last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (2,158/5,635) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves averaged 1.33 points per shot (9,264 points/6,973 shots) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Timberwolves have averaged 14.8 second chance points per game (1,093 points/74 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 7.3 steals per game (577 steals/79 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Pistons have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (386 blocks/74 games) this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pistons have averaged 7.3 steals per game (1,132 steals/156 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Timberwolves have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (885/2,622) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%


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