Raptors vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 17

Banner showing the logos of Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee bucks
  • The Bucks are -10.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDWI | SNET

The Toronto Raptors visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI, WI, USA.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Raptors vs Bucks Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 23-16 against the spread, while the Bucks are 18-21 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+10.5 -105O 231.5 -115+425
Milwaukee Bucks -10.5 -115U 231.5 -105-600

Bucks vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Bucks.

Bucks vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 35 away games (+13.21 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 69 games (+12.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 away games (+9.23 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 1H Spread in 40 of their last 69 games (+7.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+8.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 23-16 (+5.4 Units / 11.97% ROI).

  • 10-31 against the Moneyline (-9.5 Units / -22.67% ROI)
  • 21-20 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -2.22% ROI)
  • 20-21 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -6.87% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 18-21 (-5.1 Units / -11.59% ROI).

  • 23-17 against the Moneyline (-14.15 Units / -14.25% ROI)
  • 19-21 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -9.32% ROI)
  • 21-19 against the Under for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 84 games (-60.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 33 of their last 87 games (-27.20 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 81 games (-24.40 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 86 games (-24.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 88 games (-23.70 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 82 games (-26.10 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 83 games (-15.31 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 51 games (-13.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 75 games (-12.45 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 away games (-12.35 Units / -31% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Raptors are 1-8 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390

The Raptors are 2-18 (.100) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .435

The Raptors are 1-31 (.031) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .163

The Raptors are 4-17 (.190) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Bucks are 18-6 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed 118.2 points per game this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks are 34-15 (.694) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .537

The Bucks are 37-9 (.804) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .690

The Bucks are 11-1 (.917) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .743

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 18.2 fast break points per game (3,433 points/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors have averaged 8.6 fast break points per game (1,617 points/189 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors have averaged 9.5 fast break points per game (1,804 points/189 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (611/839) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 11.2 second chance points per game (438 points/39 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 8.5 steals per game (1,598 steals/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,175 rebounds/123 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Raptors have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,406 rebounds/41 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Raptors stole the ball 633 times last season — 10th most among NBA teams

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 7.7 steals per game (302 steals/39 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.