- The Hawks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Watch the game on FDSE | TSN
The Toronto Raptors visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA, USA.
The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Raptors vs Hawks Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 24-17 against the spread, while the Hawks are 18-25 against the spread.
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Raptors vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Toronto Raptors | +5.5 -110 | O 237.5 -110 | +170 |
Atlanta Hawks | -5.5 -110 | U 237.5 -110 | -210 |
Hawks vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Thursday‘s game with 75.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Hawks.
Hawks vs Raptors Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 57.0% confidence.
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Raptors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 42 games (+14.06 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 games (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 71 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 away games (+9.23 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+7.87 Units / 13% ROI)
Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 60 games (+19.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 59 games (+17.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+11.95 Units / 33% ROI)
Toronto Raptors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 24-17 (+5.3 Units / 11.21% ROI).
- 11-32 against the Moneyline (-9.5 Units / -21.64% ROI)
- 22-21 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -2.33% ROI)
- 21-22 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -6.77% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 18-25 (-9.5 Units / -20.08% ROI).
- 22-21 against the Moneyline (+13.45 Units / 21.68% ROI)
- 26-17 against the Over for game total points (+7.3 Units / 15.43% ROI)
- 17-26 against the Under for game total points (-11.6 Units / -24.52% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.00 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-24.10 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-20.90 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.25 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-19.70 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Raptors:
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 78 games (-21.95 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 53 games (-15.65 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 39 away games (-14.46 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 77 games (-12.60 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.43 Units / -31% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Toronto Raptors
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Player Injuries for Toronto Raptors vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Toronto Raptors Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Toronto Raptors Defensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Raptors are 2-18 (.100) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440
The Raptors are 18-40 (.310) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Raptors are 1-8 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .387
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors
The Hawks are 8-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 47% this season — 9th-worst in the NBA.
The Hawks are undefeated (8-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .817
The Hawks are 9-20 (.310) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Hawks are 18-2 (.900) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820
Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 8.6 fast break points per game (1,617 points/189 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8
The Raptors have averaged 18.2 fast break points per game (3,433 points/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Raptors have averaged 9.5 fast break points per game (1,804 points/189 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 15.2 second chance points per game (652 points/43 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Hawks have averaged 16.9 fast break points per game (727 points/43 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
The Hawks have averaged 18.7 offensive rebounds per game (805 rebounds/43 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Hawks shot 47% (3,529/7,584) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Raptors have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,474 rebounds/43 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Raptors have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,243 rebounds/125 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Raptors have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (196 blocks/43 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Raptors have averaged 7.7 steals per game (331 steals/43 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have averaged 10.3 steals per game (445 steals/43 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Hawks allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (4,938 points/3,512 shots) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31
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