Raptors vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 23

  • The Hawks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDSE | TSN

The Toronto Raptors visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA, USA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Raptors vs Hawks Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 24-17 against the spread, while the Hawks are 18-25 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+5.5 -110O 237.5 -110+170
Atlanta Hawks -5.5 -110U 237.5 -110-210

Hawks vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Thursday‘s game with 75.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Hawks.

Hawks vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 57.0% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 42 games (+14.06 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 2Q Spread in 28 of their last 42 games (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 71 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 away games (+9.23 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+7.87 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 60 games (+19.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 59 games (+17.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+11.95 Units / 33% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 24-17 (+5.3 Units / 11.21% ROI).

  • 11-32 against the Moneyline (-9.5 Units / -21.64% ROI)
  • 22-21 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -2.33% ROI)
  • 21-22 against the Under for game total points (-3.2 Units / -6.77% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 18-25 (-9.5 Units / -20.08% ROI).

  • 22-21 against the Moneyline (+13.45 Units / 21.68% ROI)
  • 26-17 against the Over for game total points (+7.3 Units / 15.43% ROI)
  • 17-26 against the Under for game total points (-11.6 Units / -24.52% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-24.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 82 games (-20.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-20.25 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-19.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 78 games (-21.95 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 53 games (-15.65 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 39 away games (-14.46 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 77 games (-12.60 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 games (-12.43 Units / -31% ROI)

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Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Raptors are 2-18 (.100) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .440

The Raptors are 18-40 (.310) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Raptors are 1-8 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .387

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Hawks are 8-0 (1.000) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — T-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 47% this season — 9th-worst in the NBA.

The Hawks are undefeated (8-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .817

The Hawks are 9-20 (.310) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541

The Hawks are 18-2 (.900) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 8.6 fast break points per game (1,617 points/189 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Raptors have averaged 18.2 fast break points per game (3,433 points/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors have averaged 9.5 fast break points per game (1,804 points/189 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 15.2 second chance points per game (652 points/43 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Hawks have averaged 16.9 fast break points per game (727 points/43 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Hawks have averaged 18.7 offensive rebounds per game (805 rebounds/43 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Hawks shot 47% (3,529/7,584) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,474 rebounds/43 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Raptors have averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (4,243 rebounds/125 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Raptors have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (196 blocks/43 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Raptors have averaged 7.7 steals per game (331 steals/43 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 10.3 steals per game (445 steals/43 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Hawks allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (4,938 points/3,512 shots) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31


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