Raptors vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 28

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Hawks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE

The Toronto Raptors visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Raptors vs Hawks Over/Under is 241.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 20-24 against the spread, while the Hawks are 11-34 against the spread.


Bet now on Hawks vs Raptors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Raptors vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+6.5 -105O 241.5 -105+220
Atlanta Hawks -6.5 -115U 241.5 -115-275

Hawks vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Sunday‘s game with 71.6% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Raptors and Hawks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Hawks vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


Bet now on Hawks vs Raptors and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 33 away games (+14.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 32 away games (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+8.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+12.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 20-24 (-6.4 Units / -12.92% ROI).

  • 16-29 against the Moneyline (-20.4 Units / -29.06% ROI)
  • 23-22 against the Over for game total points (-1.2 Units / -2.43% ROI)
  • 22-23 against the Under for game total points (-3.35 Units / -6.76% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 11-34 (-26.35 Units / -53.29% ROI).

  • 18-27 against the Moneyline (-15.3 Units / -21.05% ROI)
  • 24-20 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 4.04% ROI)
  • 20-24 against the Under for game total points (-6.4 Units / -12.93% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 26 of their last 81 games (-34.45 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 39 games (-25.85 Units / -60% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 85 games (-23.45 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 60 games (-23.15 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 65 games (-25.55 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 39 away games (-18.55 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 40 games (-18.30 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-18.15 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 33 away games (-18.05 Units / -48% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors were 10-17 (.370) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Raptors are 14-19 (.424) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Hawks have averaged 13.2 turnovers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Raptors are 9-23 (.281) when allowing 110 or more points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .364

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks are 21-1 (.955) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .791

The Hawks are 5-20 (.200) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

The Hawks were 14-14 (.500) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Hawks vs. RaptorsSunday‘s Game, Jan. 28

  • Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks): Wrist, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • Kobe Bufkin (Atlanta Hawks): Thumb, Out
  • Christian Koloko (Toronto Raptors): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Ribs, Game Time Decision

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,564 assists/ 758 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors have averaged 19.4 fast break points per game (1,243 points/64 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks averaged 12.9 turnovers per game (1,060 turnovers/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Hawks have averaged 120.1 points per game (5,404 points/45 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.6

The Hawks averaged 54.3 points in the paint per game (4,450 points/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Hawks have averaged 5.5 fast break points per game (247 points/45 games) in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,550 rebounds/45 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (201 blocks/45 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hawks have allowed a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Hawks have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,506 rebounds/45 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hawks have averaged 7.9 steals per game (355 steals/45 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


Bet now on Hawks vs Raptors and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.