Raptors vs Magic Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 17, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Magic are -12.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 216.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSFL | TSN

The Toronto Raptors visit Kia Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Orlando, FL.

The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Raptors vs Magic Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 30-36 against the spread, while the Magic are 44-23 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+11.5 -115O 218.5 -105+475
Orlando Magic -11.5 -105U 218.5 -115-650

Magic vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Magic will win Sunday‘s game with 92.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Magic.

Magic vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Magic will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 away games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 away games (+12.30 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 52 of their last 79 games (+22.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 78 games (+17.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 79 games (+16.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+11.55 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 30-36 (-9.6 Units / -13.03% ROI).

  • 23-44 against the Moneyline (-26.05 Units / -26.75% ROI)
  • 35-32 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -0.27% ROI)
  • 32-35 against the Under for game total points (-6.4 Units / -8.7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 44-23 (+18.7 Units / 25.37% ROI).

  • 39-28 against the Moneyline (+16.6 Units / 14.81% ROI)
  • 30-36 against the Over for game total points (-9.6 Units / -13.03% ROI)
  • 36-30 against the Under for game total points (+3 Units / 4.07% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 78 games (-28.65 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 73 games (-21.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 46 games (-18.05 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 78 games (-17.35 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games (-17.05 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 79 games (-30.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-22.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 62 games (-20.20 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-20.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 72 games (-20.05 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors are 4-17 (.190) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .451

The Raptors are 5-22 (.185) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .426

The Raptors were 3-6 (.333) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Magic are 21-1 (.955) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed opponents to shoot 49% this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Magic are 29-8 (.784) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed 118.1 points per game this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.

The Magic are 12-1 (.923) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .780

The Magic were 8-12 (.400) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Magic vs. RaptorsSunday‘s Game, Mar. 17

  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Out
  • Markquis Nowell (Toronto Raptors): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • RJ Barrett (Toronto Raptors): Knee, Out

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors have averaged 17.7 fast break points per game (2,409 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (987 assists/ 480 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors have averaged 9.0 fast break points per game (488 points/54 games) in the second half this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic have a 30% free throw rate (1,374 free throw attempts/4,566 field goal attempts) this season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,906 assists/ 1,236 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic have made 10.9 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,451 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have 433 steals this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Magic have averaged 8.2 steals per game (433 steals/53 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have 1,036 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Magic have averaged 7.7 steals per game (1,036 steals/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.