Raptors vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2024, 3:32 PM
  • The Nuggets are -9.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on ALT | SNT

The Toronto Raptors visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Raptors vs Nuggets Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 6-1 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 2-4 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+10.5 -110O 231.5 -110+400
Denver Nuggets -10.5 -110U 231.5 -110-550

Nuggets vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Monday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 away games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 away games (+11.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 79 games (+7.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 46 games at home (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+8.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.85 Units / 62% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 6-1 (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI).

  • 1-5 against the Moneyline (-3.2 Units / -53.33% ROI)
  • 5-1 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI)
  • 1-5 against the Under for game total points (-4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 2-4 (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 2-3 against the Moneyline (-3.5 Units / -31.53% ROI)
  • 3-2 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 2-3 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 71 games (-25.55 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 90 games (-21.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 94 games (-18.60 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 46 games at home (-13.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 21 games (-13.10 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 83 games (-21.80 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-19.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 36 of their last 83 games (-17.50 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 41 away games (-16.80 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 41 away games (-15.60 Units / -35% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Raptors were 1-4 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Raptors were 10-39 (.204) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets averaged 52.4 rebounds/game last season — 7th-highest in the NBA.

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors were 12-35 (.255) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets were 42-12 (.778) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Raptors averaged 50.4 rebounds/game last season — 7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 37-14 (.725) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

The Nuggets were 37-3 (.925) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Raptors allowed opponents to shoot 49% last season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. RaptorsMonday‘s Game, Nov. 4

  • Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported
  • Toronto Raptors – No Injuries Reported

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 18.4 fast break points per game (3,146 points/171 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Raptors had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (987 assists/ 480 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Raptors have averaged 20.0 fast break points per game (1,744 points/87 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Nuggets averaged 28.9 assists per game (2,369 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 8.8 steals per game (765 steals/87 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nuggets have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (907/2,671) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.