Raptors vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 27, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Pelicans are -2.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on GCSE | TSN

The Toronto Raptors visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Raptors vs Pelicans Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Raptors are 12-6 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 6-12 against the spread.


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Raptors vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Toronto Raptors+2.5 -105O 222.5 -110+125
New Orleans Pelicans -2.5 -115U 222.5 -110-150

Pelicans vs Raptors Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Raptors and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Raptors Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 away games (+10.29 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games (+9.57 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 46 games (+8.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+7.67 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+15.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 88 games (+15.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 62 games (+12.83 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 51 of their last 86 games (+12.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 82 games (+11.20 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Raptors have gone 12-6 (+5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 4-14 against the Moneyline (-5.3 Units / -29.44% ROI)
  • 9-9 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 9-9 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 6-12 (-7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 4-14 against the Moneyline (-11.25 Units / -50.34% ROI)
  • 9-8 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI)
  • 8-9 against the Under for game total points (-1.9 Units / -9.6% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 77 games (-26.35 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-23.55 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 81 games (-22.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-22.45 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 64 games (-20.65 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 81 games (-33.45 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-21.11 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 81 games (-15.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 83 games (-15.20 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 79 games (-14.05 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Raptors are 9-43 (.173) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Raptors are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .419

The Raptors are 1-4 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .393

The Raptors are 5-21 (.192) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .452

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans are 18-4 (.818) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Raptors have allowed 13.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 28-14 (.667) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Pelicans are 1-8 (.111) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Raptors have averaged 57.1 rebounds/game this season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 20.6 fast break points per game (1,009 points/49 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Raptors averaged 18.7 fast break points per game (1,531 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Raptors averaged 20.7 fast break points per game (847 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Raptors have averaged 9.3 fast break points per game (922 points/99 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have a TS% of 46% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50%

The Pelicans have averaged 103.8 points per game (1,764 points/17 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.0

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 48% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans have averaged 1.16 points per shot (854 points/738 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 8.8 steals per game (788 steals/90 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Raptors averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,769 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors have averaged 33.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,975 rebounds/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Raptors have 1,541 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among NBA teams

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (545 rebounds/17 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,167/3,463) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans averaged 4.6 blocks per game (379 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.