Rockets vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 18

  • The Bucks are -4.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | SCHN | FDWI

The Houston Rockets visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Bucks Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 9-5 against the spread, while the Bucks are 4-8 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+3.5 -110O 223.5 -105+135
Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 -110U 223.5 -115-160

Bucks vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Bucks.

Bucks vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 60.4% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 games (+16.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 52 of their last 85 games (+15.03 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 44 away games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 75 games (+12.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+12.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 42 games at home (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 9-5 (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI).

  • 10-4 against the Moneyline (+3.85 Units / 13.3% ROI)
  • 6-7 against the Over for game total points (-1.7 Units / -11.04% ROI)
  • 7-6 against the Under for game total points (+0.4 Units / 2.6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 4-8 (-4.8 Units / -33.57% ROI).

  • 4-9 against the Moneyline (-12.95 Units / -43.38% ROI)
  • 5-8 against the Over for game total points (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI)
  • 8-5 against the Under for game total points (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 69 games (-64.65 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 87 games (-32.50 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 80 games (-25.05 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.70 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-22.35 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 43 away games (-20.25 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 43 away games (-17.15 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 85 games (-16.02 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-14.15 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 39 away games (-12.45 Units / -28% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Rockets are 7-54 (.115) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .330

The Rockets are winless (0-3) when allowing 110 or more points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .347

The Rockets are 2-21 (.087) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Bucks are 54-22 (.711) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Bucks are 11-4 (.733) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Bucks were 30-9 (.769) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks are 32-12 (.727) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636

Injury Report: Bucks vs. RocketsMonday‘s Game, Nov. 18

  • Milwaukee Bucks – No Injuries Reported
  • Houston Rockets – No Injuries Reported

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 19.5 offensive rebounds per game (3,473 rebounds/178 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

The Rockets have averaged 22.3 offensive rebounds per game (312 rebounds/14 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3

The Rockets have a TS% of 48% on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Rockets are shooting 33% from three (980/2,999) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks have averaged 1.37 points per shot (5,529 points/4,025 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks are shooting 72% from the free throw line (208/289) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 43% in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50%

The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4

The Rockets have 118 steals this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Rockets have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (75 blocks/14 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (6,769 rebounds/177 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (480 rebounds/13 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,515 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (655 steals/95 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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