- The Rockets are -5.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Watch the game on FDSE | SCHN
The Houston Rockets visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Rockets vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 22-15 against the spread, while the Hawks are 15-23 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | O | ||
| Atlanta Hawks | U |
Hawks vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Saturday‘s game with 78.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Hawks.
Hawks vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 57.8% confidence.
Bet now on Hawks vs Rockets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 63 games (+19.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 39 of their last 61 games (+14.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 38 of their last 62 games (+14.03 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 41 away games (+13.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Hawks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 54 games (+20.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 47 of their last 74 games (+16.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 55 games (+15.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 80 games (+13.48 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+12.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 22-15 (+5.5 Units / 13.51% ROI).
- 25-12 against the Moneyline (+1.95 Units / 2.23% ROI)
- 18-18 against the Over for game total points (-1.8 Units / -4.41% ROI)
- 18-18 against the Under for game total points (-1.7 Units / -4.19% ROI)
Atlanta Hawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 15-23 (-10.3 Units / -24.64% ROI).
- 19-19 against the Moneyline (+9.65 Units / 17.13% ROI)
- 25-13 against the Over for game total points (+10.7 Units / 25.6% ROI)
- 13-25 against the Under for game total points (-14.5 Units / -34.69% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Hawks:
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 78 games (-27.85 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 78 games (-27.00 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 80 games (-25.20 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 85 games (-21.40 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-20.95 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 41 away games (-19.30 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 41 away games (-19.30 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 74 games (-14.90 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 60 games (-14.82 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 83 games (-14.50 Units / -15% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Atlanta Hawks
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Atlanta Hawks Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks
The Rockets are 5-24 (.172) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .349
The Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .254
The Rockets are 5-24 (.172) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .219
The Rockets are 11-3 (.786) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Hawks are 8-20 (.286) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Hawks are 16-2 (.889) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .818
The Hawks are 4-26 (.133) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .182
The Hawks are 30-33 (.476) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an eFG% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets are shooting 24% from three (43/180) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Rockets have averaged 1.07 points per shot (491 points/458 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Rockets are shooting 38% (176/458) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (162 assists/ 72 TOs) in close and late situations this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Hawks have averaged 117.2 points per game (4,455 points/38 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 112.9
The Hawks have averaged 54.8 points in the paint per game (2,082 points/38 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3
The Hawks have a 26% free throw rate (901 free throw attempts/3,498 field goal attempts) this season — 10th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (258 blocks/60 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Rockets have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,440/3,241) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%
The Rockets stole the ball 639 times last season — 8th most among NBA teams
Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Hawks have averaged 10.3 steals per game (391 steals/38 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4
The Hawks allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Hawks have averaged 8.4 steals per game (1,007 steals/120 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
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