Rockets vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 28

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDSE | SCHN

The Houston Rockets visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Rockets vs Hawks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 27-18 against the spread, while the Hawks are 19-27 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets O
Atlanta Hawks U

Hawks vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Hawks.

Hawks vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 71 games (+20.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 33 games (+17.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 away games (+16.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 44 of their last 69 games (+16.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 28 away games (+16.10 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 29 games at home (+16.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 63 games (+14.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 82 games (+12.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have covered the 4Q Spread in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+11.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+11.63 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 27-18 (+7.2 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 31-14 against the Moneyline (+5.3 Units / 5.16% ROI)
  • 24-20 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 4.03% ROI)
  • 20-24 against the Under for game total points (-6.3 Units / -12.75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 19-27 (-10.7 Units / -21.15% ROI).

  • 22-24 against the Moneyline (+8.2 Units / 12.18% ROI)
  • 27-19 against the Over for game total points (+6.1 Units / 12.06% ROI)
  • 19-27 against the Under for game total points (-10.7 Units / -21.15% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.75 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 79 games (-23.20 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 64 games (-22.10 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 31 of their last 76 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 81 games (-17.93 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 68 games (-22.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 68 games (-19.62 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 66 games (-18.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 81 games (-15.77 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 82 games (-15.50 Units / -16% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Rockets are 24-4 (.857) when scoring 110 or more points this season — T-best in the NBA. The Hawks have allowed 118.5 points per game this season — 4th-worst in the NBA.

The Rockets are undefeated (5-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

The Rockets are 6-2 (.750) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Hawks are 11-8 (.579) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .437

The Hawks are undefeated (8-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .751

The Hawks are winless (0-14) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .109

The Hawks were 10-28 (.263) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets are shooting 27% from three (57/214) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Rockets have averaged 1.14 points per shot (635 points/555 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (194 assists/ 89 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Hawks have averaged 16.7 fast break points per game (767 points/46 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Hawks have averaged 1.26 points per shot (5,325 points/4,234 shots) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Hawks have averaged 115.8 points per game (5,325 points/46 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.0

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (6,783 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Rockets have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,049 steals/127 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 10.4 steals per game (480 steals/46 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (571/1,405) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,813 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have 480 steals this season — 2nd most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.