- The Kings are -4.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max
The Houston Rockets visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA, USA.
The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Rockets vs Kings Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 23-16 against the spread, while the Kings are 15-22 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | +4.5 -110 | O 224.5 -105 | +150 |
| Sacramento Kings | -4.5 -110 | U 224.5 -115 | -185 |
Kings vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Thursday‘s game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Kings.
Kings vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 65 games (+19.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 63 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 19 of their last 24 away games (+14.30 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 62 games (+13.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 away games (+11.95 Units / 25% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+13.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+10.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 23-16 (+5.4 Units / 12.59% ROI).
- 27-12 against the Moneyline (+3.95 Units / 4.34% ROI)
- 20-18 against the Over for game total points (+0.2 Units / 0.47% ROI)
- 18-20 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -9.11% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 15-22 (-9.2 Units / -20.91% ROI).
- 20-20 against the Moneyline (-12.25 Units / -13.89% ROI)
- 20-19 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -2.05% ROI)
- 19-20 against the Under for game total points (-3.05 Units / -6.92% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-25.67 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-23.13 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-21.16 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 62 games (-16.70 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 35 games (-16.50 Units / -27% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 42 away games (-18.30 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 42 away games (-18.30 Units / -38% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 62 games (-17.07 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 60 games (-16.50 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 62 games (-16.05 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Sacramento Kings
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Rockets were winless (0-14) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
The Rockets are 12-1 (.923) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .648
The Rockets are 5-52 (.088) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .238
The Rockets are 25-11 (.694) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .501
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Kings are undefeated (12-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .897
The Kings were 16-7 (.696) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Kings are 40-16 (.714) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570
The Kings are 13-21 (.382) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .428
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an eFG% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets are shooting 25% from three (45/182) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Rockets have averaged 1.11 points per shot (522 points/472 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Rockets have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings averaged 16.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,380 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
The Kings shot 74% from the free throw line (1,274/1,710) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Kings had 20.9 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Kings are shooting 47% (1,720/3,632) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 8.2 steals per game (988 steals/121 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Rockets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,419 rebounds/39 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4
The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings allowed 5.3 second chance points per game (436 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.1
The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
The Kings averaged 4.2 blocks per game (342 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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