Rockets vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 11

Lakers logo on the left and Rockets logo on the right
  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | SCHN | SPEC

The Houston Rockets visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, CA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Rockets vs Lakers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 43-37 against the spread, while the Lakers are 44-34 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets O
Los Angeles Lakers U

Lakers vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Friday‘s game with 69.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Lakers.

Lakers vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 52.6% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 24 games (+17.60 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 79 games (+15.37 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 away games (+15.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 79 games (+14.88 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 39 away games (+14.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 57 of their last 88 games (+22.60 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 41 games at home (+14.47 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the Spread in 36 of their last 58 games (+14.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 40 games (+13.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 52 of their last 87 games (+12.37 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 43-37 (+2.3 Units / 2.61% ROI).

  • 52-28 against the Moneyline (-1.2 Units / -0.57% ROI)
  • 42-37 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 1.48% ROI)
  • 37-42 against the Under for game total points (-9.1 Units / -10.35% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 44-34 (+6.6 Units / 7.5% ROI).

  • 49-31 against the Moneyline (+5 Units / 2.84% ROI)
  • 40-40 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 40-40 against the Under for game total points (-4.05 Units / -4.6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 74 games (-23.07 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 36 of their last 88 games (-22.85 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 88 games (-21.92 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-19.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.52 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-21.65 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 65 games (-17.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 47 games (-16.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 68 games (-16.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-14.98 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Rockets are 39-20 (.661) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .238

The Rockets are 24-12 (.667) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .589

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Lakers are 10-18 (.357) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .408

The Lakers were 25-11 (.694) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Lakers are 17-9 (.654) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Lakers were 9-4 (.692) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%

The Rockets have 1,809 offensive rebounds this season — most among NBA teams

The Rockets are shooting 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (860 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 5.1 second chance points per game (828 points/162 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,897 rebounds/80 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Rockets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,871 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets stole the ball 639 times last season — 8th most among NBA teams

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,858 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 7.5 steals per game (1,218 steals/162 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Lakers have averaged 7.4 steals per game (588 steals/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9


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