- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on SCHN | KFAA
The Houston Rockets visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Rockets vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 29-22 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 25-25 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Houston Rockets | O | ||
Dallas Mavericks | U |
Mavericks vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Saturday‘s game with 79.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.5% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 77 games (+20.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 33 away games (+16.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 39 games (+15.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 46 of their last 75 games (+14.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 away games (+13.45 Units / 25% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 48 games at home (+19.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 56 of their last 93 games (+16.58 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+16.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 94 games (+16.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games at home (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 29-22 (+4.8 Units / 8.56% ROI).
- 32-19 against the Moneyline (-9.2 Units / -7.66% ROI)
- 27-23 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 3.02% ROI)
- 23-27 against the Under for game total points (-6.6 Units / -11.79% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 25-25 (-2.5 Units / -4.37% ROI).
- 27-25 against the Moneyline (+4.45 Units / 3.79% ROI)
- 28-24 against the Over for game total points (+1.6 Units / 2.8% ROI)
- 24-28 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -11.89% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 46 games at home (-31.15 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 48 games at home (-26.50 Units / -48% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 47 games at home (-22.92 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 47 games at home (-19.65 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 46 games at home (-19.65 Units / -37% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 74 games (-20.90 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 74 games (-20.07 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 72 games (-19.20 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 81 games (-18.10 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 81 games (-16.40 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Rockets are 7-25 (.219) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-worst in the NBA. The Mavericks have made 14.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-highest in the NBA.
The Rockets are 33-18 (.647) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Rockets are 30-19 (.612) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .493
The Rockets are undefeated (5-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .703
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Mavericks were 5-13 (.278) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395
The Mavericks are 19-8 (.704) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Mavericks are 10-4 (.714) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .598
The Mavericks are 53-22 (.707) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an eFG% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets are shooting 26% from three (63/246) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Rockets have a TS% of 43% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets have averaged 1.14 points per shot (735 points/646 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks averaged 12.7 turnovers per game (1,045 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Mavericks have averaged 14.8 offensive rebounds per game (2,788 rebounds/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.4
The Mavericks averaged 119.2 points per game (9,772 points/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 9.0 steals per game (460 steals/51 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,099 steals/133 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (985 steals/134 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (305 blocks/52 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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