Rockets vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 31, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -6.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | KFAA | WFAA

The Houston Rockets visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Rockets vs Mavericks Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 2-2 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 2-2 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+6.5 -110O 226.5 -105+200
Dallas Mavericks -6.5 -110U 226.5 -115-250

Mavericks vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 73.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Mavericks will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.5% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 40 away games (+11.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 47 of their last 83 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 44 of their last 75 games (+9.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 83 games (+20.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 79 games (+17.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 38 of their last 59 games (+16.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 46 games (+13.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 2-2 against the Moneyline (-2.5 Units / -32.68% ROI)
  • 1-3 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)
  • 3-1 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 3-1 against the Moneyline (+1.9 Units / 14.73% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 81 games (-30.00 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-28.40 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 71 games (-25.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 24 games at home (-22.75 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-20.30 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 39 away games (-19.95 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-17.30 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 39 away games (-17.20 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 80 games (-13.85 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 82 games (-13.55 Units / -14% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Mavericks were 28-2 (.933) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789

The Mavericks were 22-10 (.688) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Mavericks were 6-4 (.600) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Mavericks were 34-12 (.739) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. RocketsThursday‘s Game, Oct. 31

  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported
  • Houston Rockets – No Injuries Reported

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 20.1 points in the paint per game (1,646 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (740 blocks/168 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.