- The Rockets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
- Watch the game on SCHN | WVUE | GCSE
The Houston Rockets visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA, USA.
The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Rockets vs Pelicans Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 33-29 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 25-36 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Houston Rockets | -4.5 -110 | O 230.5 -105 | -185 |
New Orleans Pelicans | +4.5 -110 | U 230.5 -115 | +150 |
Pelicans vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Thursday‘s game with 78.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Pelicans.
Pelicans vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 62.1% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 away games (+18.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 37 away games (+16.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 away games (+11.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 82 games (+10.58 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 away games (+9.73 Units / 17% ROI)
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+7.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 33-29 (+1.1 Units / 1.61% ROI).
- 37-25 against the Moneyline (-13.1 Units / -9.18% ROI)
- 31-30 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -2.93% ROI)
- 30-31 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -5.87% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 25-36 (-14.55 Units / -21.35% ROI).
- 17-45 against the Moneyline (-25.8 Units / -31.31% ROI)
- 36-25 against the Over for game total points (+8.5 Units / 12.46% ROI)
- 25-36 against the Under for game total points (-14.6 Units / -21.41% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 77 games (-36.10 Units / -32% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 88 games (-24.75 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 79 games (-24.40 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-23.57 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 70 games (-22.89 Units / -29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 71 games (-20.25 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 82 games (-19.35 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-16.60 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-16.42 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-16.20 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Rockets are 14-3 (.824) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 14.8 made three-pointers per game this season — worst in the NBA.
The Rockets are 27-9 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 119.0 points per game this season — 5th-worst in the NBA.
The Rockets are 32-13 (.711) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have averaged 51.8 rebounds/game this season — 10th-lowest in the NBA.
The Rockets are 8-1 (.889) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .751
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Pelicans are 3-18 (.143) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Pelicans are 8-30 (.211) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Rockets have averaged 58.7 rebounds/game this season — highest in the NBA.
The Pelicans are 1-6 (.143) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .454
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 22.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,411 rebounds/62 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.1
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets are shooting 41% (339/836) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 45%
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Pelicans are shooting 39% from three (117/297) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%
The Pelicans shot 38% from three (1,023/2,673) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Pelicans have averaged 15.6 second chance points per game (965 points/62 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets averaged 7.8 steals per game (639 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets have 526 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Rockets allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (1,012/2,904) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,071 rebounds/62 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Pelicans have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,247 steals/144 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Pelicans stole the ball 684 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams
The Pelicans have 563 steals this season — tied for 5th most among NBA teams
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