- The Thunder are -7.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
- Watch the game on BSOK | SCHN
The Houston Rockets visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Rockets vs Thunder Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 40-29 against the spread, while the Thunder are 41-29 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | +4.5 -105 | O 226.5 -110 | +155 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -4.5 -115 | U 226.5 -110 | -190 |
Thunder vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 70.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Thunder.
Thunder vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games (+14.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 77 games (+12.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 31 away games (+11.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 68 games (+11.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 away games (+9.75 Units / 29% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 31 games at home (+21.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 21 of their last 26 games at home (+15.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 62 games (+12.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 44 of their last 75 games (+11.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 40-29 (+8.1 Units / 10.37% ROI).
- 36-35 against the Moneyline (+6.95 Units / 5.8% ROI)
- 33-37 against the Over for game total points (-7.7 Units / -9.85% ROI)
- 37-33 against the Under for game total points (+0.75 Units / 0.96% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 41-29 (+9.1 Units / 11.65% ROI).
- 50-21 against the Moneyline (+14.15 Units / 6.11% ROI)
- 36-31 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 2.43% ROI)
- 31-36 against the Under for game total points (-8.5 Units / -10.9% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-19.75 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 68 games (-17.25 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 47 games (-15.30 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 77 games (-14.20 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 47 games (-13.10 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 30 away games (-18.20 Units / -53% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 74 games (-16.55 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 38 away games (-15.40 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 30 away games (-14.80 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 37 away games (-14.40 Units / -34% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456
The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444
The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460
The Rockets were 14-28 (.333) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808
The Thunder are 21-1 (.955) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642
The Thunder are winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .092
The Thunder were 18-26 (.409) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
Injury Report: Thunder vs. Rockets – Wednesday‘s Game, Mar. 27
- Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
- Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): Knee, Out For Season
- Tari Eason (Houston Rockets): Lower Leg, Out
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (892 assists/ 666 TOs) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (229 assists/ 198 TOs) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (480/1,202) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have a TS% of 54% this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Thunder have averaged 10.6 second chance points per game (380 points/36 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3
The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3
The Rockets have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,613 rebounds/71 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets allowed a TS% of 55% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Thunder stole the ball 676 times last season — 4th most among NBA teams
The Thunder have averaged 8.3 steals per game (592 steals/71 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
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