- The Thunder are -9.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Watch the game on SCHN | FDOK | NBAt
The Houston Rockets visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-105).
The Rockets vs Thunder Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 32-28 against the spread, while the Thunder are 35-22 against the spread.
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Rockets vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Houston Rockets | +10.5 -115 | O 228.5 -110 | +360 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -10.5 -105 | U 228.5 -110 | -475 |
Thunder vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Thunder.
Thunder vs Rockets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 64.0% confidence.
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Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 38 away games (+16.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 25 of their last 35 away games (+14.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 away games (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 80 games (+10.68 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 41 away games (+9.58 Units / 17% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 92 games (+17.15 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 75 games (+16.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 33 games (+15.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 42 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 34 games (+13.15 Units / 18% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 32-28 (+1.2 Units / 1.82% ROI).
- 37-23 against the Moneyline (-11.1 Units / -7.89% ROI)
- 30-29 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.87% ROI)
- 29-30 against the Under for game total points (-3.9 Units / -5.92% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 35-22 (+10.8 Units / 16.1% ROI).
- 49-12 against the Moneyline (+9.9 Units / 2.84% ROI)
- 35-25 against the Over for game total points (+7.5 Units / 11.18% ROI)
- 25-35 against the Under for game total points (-13.5 Units / -20.12% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (-20.00 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 42 games (-19.90 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 57 games (-19.10 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 33 games (-18.40 Units / -51% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 83 games (-16.57 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 80 games (-19.20 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 69 games (-18.25 Units / -12% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-16.50 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 81 games (-16.27 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 81 games (-16.00 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Houston Rockets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Rockets are 32-12 (.727) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 51.9 rebounds/game this season — 10th-lowest in the NBA.
The Rockets are winless (0-3) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .257
The Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .247
The Rockets are 24-14 (.632) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Thunder are 18-4 (.818) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .442
The Thunder are 69-11 (.862) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Thunder are 25-3 (.893) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have averaged 22.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,355 rebounds/60 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.1
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets have averaged 1.17 points per shot (940 points/803 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (338 turnovers/60 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2
The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Thunder averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (450 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets have 512 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Rockets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,136 rebounds/142 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets have averaged 8.5 steals per game (512 steals/60 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 10.8 steals per game (646 steals/60 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,340 steals/142 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,084/2,524) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
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