Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 6

  • The Rockets are -1.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 214.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | FDSN

The Houston Rockets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN, USA.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-102).

The Rockets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 214.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Rockets are 29-21 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 21-28 against the spread.


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Rockets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Houston Rockets+1.5 -118O 214.5 -110-102
Minnesota Timberwolves -1.5 -102U 214.5 -110-118

Timberwolves vs Rockets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Rockets and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Rockets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 53.4% confidence.


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  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 50 of their last 76 games (+19.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 38 games (+16.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 32 away games (+15.70 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 away games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 55 of their last 86 games (+19.03 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 53 of their last 97 games (+9.22 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+9.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+7.98 Units / 19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 29-21 (+5.9 Units / 10.73% ROI).

  • 32-18 against the Moneyline (-8.1 Units / -6.8% ROI)
  • 26-23 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 1.27% ROI)
  • 23-26 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -10.02% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 21-28 (-9.85 Units / -17.54% ROI).

  • 28-23 against the Moneyline (-19.85 Units / -14.85% ROI)
  • 27-24 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • 24-27 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 93 games (-37.60 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 61 games (-27.90 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 94 games (-25.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the Spread in 14 of their last 50 games at home (-23.50 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 91 games (-22.90 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 73 games (-21.90 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 73 games (-18.92 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 71 games (-18.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 away games (-17.35 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 80 games (-17.02 Units / -17% ROI)

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Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Rockets are 14-1 (.933) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .652

The Rockets are 7-24 (.226) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have made 13.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-highest in the NBA.

The Rockets are 14-1 (.933) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .903

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves were 45-23 (.662) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Timberwolves are 6-12 (.333) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .382

The Timberwolves are 27-10 (.730) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .616

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have an eFG% of 45% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

The Rockets are shooting 26% from three (62/240) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Rockets have averaged 1.13 points per shot (721 points/636 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Rockets are shooting 40% (252/636) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (1,037/2,681) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.7 fast break points per game (1,687 points/133 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

The Timberwolves are shooting 39% from three (1,808/4,688) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,760 rebounds/132 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (278 blocks/64 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Rockets stole the ball 639 times last season — 8th most among NBA teams

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 51% at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%


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