Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 24

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 24, 2024, 12:00 PM
  • The Mavericks are -7.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The San Antonio Spurs visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Spurs vs Mavericks Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 3-2 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 1-3 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+8.5 -110O 229.5 -110+300
Dallas Mavericks -8.5 -110U 229.5 -110-375

Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Thursday‘s game with 79.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 59.9% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 games (+20.40 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 82 games (+14.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 60 games (+14.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 49 games (+13.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 81 games (+12.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 79 games (+20.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 75 games (+18.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 36 of their last 55 games (+16.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 41 games (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 42 games (+11.55 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Spurs have gone 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • 2-3 against the Moneyline (-3 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 3-2 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI)
  • 2-3 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Mavericks have gone 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 1-3 against the Moneyline (-2.75 Units / -44.72% ROI)
  • 1-3 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)
  • 3-1 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 77 games (-29.65 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 81 games (-28.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 100 games (-26.20 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 22 games at home (-21.75 Units / -57% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 67 games (-19.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 81 games (-23.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-19.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 38 away games (-17.90 Units / -46% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs were 1-13 (.071) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Spurs are 7-35 (.167) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

The Spurs are 4-47 (.078) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .326

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Mavericks were 28-2 (.933) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 49% last season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Mavericks were 20-10 (.667) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks were 1-8 (.111) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Mavericks were 41-27 (.603) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. SpursThursday‘s Game, Oct. 24

  • Dallas Mavericks – No Injuries Reported
  • San Antonio Spurs – No Injuries Reported

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs averaged 1.19 points per shot (4,551 points/3,809 shots) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Spurs averaged 17.5 points per game (1,069 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9

The Spurs have averaged 1.25 points per shot (9,093 points/7,280 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 20.1 points in the paint per game (1,646 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.2

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (496 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (517/1,300) in the second half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Spurs averaged 33.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,781 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs allowed a TS% of 54% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 52% (1,901/3,693) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks averaged 6.3 steals per game (514 steals/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.