Spurs vs Pistons Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 10, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Spurs are -2.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSDT | BSSW

The San Antonio Spurs visit Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Detroit, MI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at + (+).

The Spurs vs Pistons Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 15-20 against the spread, while the Pistons are 14-22 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Pistons Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs-3.5 -110O 238.5 -110-160
Detroit Pistons +3.5 -110U 238.5 -110+135

Pistons vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Wednesday‘s game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Spurs and Pistons, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Pistons vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.


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  • Away – Positive ATS Trends
  • Home – Positive ATS Trends

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 15-20 (-6.9 Units / -17.97% ROI).

  • 5-30 against the Moneyline (-19.85 Units / -55.84% ROI)
  • 21-13 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 17.4% ROI)
  • 13-21 against the Under for game total points (-10.1 Units / -26.23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 14-22 (-10.1 Units / -24.91% ROI).

  • 3-34 against the Moneyline (-30.8 Units / -80.52% ROI)
  • 23-13 against the Over for game total points (+8.7 Units / 21.4% ROI)
  • 13-23 against the Under for game total points (-12.35 Units / -30.31% ROI)
  • Home – Negative ATS Trends
  • Away – Negative ATS Trends

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Spurs are 1-18 (.053) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Spurs are winless (0-6) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs are 2-47 (.041) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .307

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Pistons are 12-45 (.211) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Pistons are 4-58 (.065) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .370

The Pistons are 7-71 (.090) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are winless (0-16) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

Injury Report: Pistons vs. SpursWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 10

  • Joe Harris (Detroit Pistons): Shoulder, Game Time Decision
  • Monte Morris (Detroit Pistons): Quadriceps, Out
  • Jared Rhoden (Detroit Pistons): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Sir’Jabari Rice (San Antonio Spurs): Undisclosed, Game Time Decision

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs have averaged 1.22 points per shot (1,914 points/1,572 shots) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Spurs have averaged 1.22 points per shot (6,387 points/5,223 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Spurs are shooting 33% from three (213/656) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have averaged 16.3 turnovers per game (602 turnovers/37 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Pistons have made 10.5 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.9

The Pistons averaged 21.6 assists per game (886 assists/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed 124.7 points per game (5,114 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (1,036/2,651) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 6.3 steals per game (232 steals/37 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pistons have averaged 34.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,264 rebounds/37 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pistons have allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (4,544 points/3,310 shots) this season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.29


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.