Spurs vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 17, 2024, 1:26 PM
  • The Rockets are -6.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on SCHN | CW35

The San Antonio Spurs visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Houston, TX.

The Rockets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Spurs vs Rockets Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 3-1 against the spread, while the Rockets are 2-1 against the spread.


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Spurs vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
San Antonio Spurs+6.5 -115O 222.5 -110+180
Houston Rockets -6.5 -105U 222.5 -110-225

Rockets vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Thursday‘s game with 71.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Rockets.

Rockets vs Spurs Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Spurs will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 63.2% confidence.


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  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 games (+20.40 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 82 games (+14.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 60 games (+14.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 49 games (+13.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 81 games (+12.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+13.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 81 games (+10.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 57% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Spurs have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 2-2 against the Moneyline (-2 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Rockets have gone 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 2-1 against the Moneyline (-0.75 Units / -23.08% ROI)
  • 3-0 against the Over for game total points (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI)
  • 0-3 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -100% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 29 games at home (-18.15 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 76 games (-17.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-17.25 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 71 games (-17.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 82 games (-15.60 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 81 games (-23.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-19.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.00 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 82 games (-18.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 38 away games (-17.90 Units / -46% ROI)

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San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Spurs were winless (0-36) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Spurs were 1-44 (.022) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

The Spurs were 1-11 (.083) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

The Spurs are 3-61 (.047) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .308

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Rockets were 6-22 (.214) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Rockets were winless (0-5) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Rockets were 15-49 (.234) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Rockets were 5-21 (.192) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Rockets vs. SpursThursday‘s Game, Oct. 17

  • Houston Rockets – No Injuries Reported
  • San Antonio Spurs – No Injuries Reported

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs averaged 1.22 points per shot (9,269 points/7,593 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Spurs had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (214 assists/ 161 TOs) in close and late situations last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

The Spurs have a 23% free throw rate (3,376 free throw attempts/15,030 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Spurs have averaged 1.25 points per shot (9,093 points/7,280 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (1,835 assists/ 1,332 TOs) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (887 assists/ 665 TOs) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Rockets had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (943 assists/ 666 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Rockets shot 33% from three (856/2,619) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs allowed opponents to shoot 51% (3,780/7,460) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48%

The Spurs allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,932 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Spurs allowed 124.7 points per game (5,114 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 115.9

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets allowed 14.5 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.3

The Rockets allowed 19.0 fast break points per game (780 points/41 games) on the road last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.3

The Rockets allowed 17.5 fast break points per game (1,432 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0

The Rockets allowed an eFG% of 59% on the road last season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.