- The Timberwolves are -11.5 favorites vs. the Spurs
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Watch the game on FDSW | FDSN | KARE
The San Antonio Spurs visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, USA.
The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Spurs vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Spurs are 26-35 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 29-34 against the spread.
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Spurs vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| San Antonio Spurs | +11.5 -110 | O 233.5 -110 | +425 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | -11.5 -110 | U 233.5 -110 | -600 |
Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday‘s game with 79.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Spurs and Timberwolves.
Timberwolves vs Spurs Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Timberwolves will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 68.5% confidence.
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Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 67 games (+22.87 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 3Q Spread in 43 of their last 68 games (+14.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 away games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 72 games (+9.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+16.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 56 of their last 98 games (+15.72 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 60 of their last 99 games (+14.68 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 89 games (+9.20 Units / 9% ROI)
San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 26-35 (-12.5 Units / -18.63% ROI).
- 26-35 against the Moneyline (-7.1 Units / -8.38% ROI)
- 33-27 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 4.92% ROI)
- 27-33 against the Under for game total points (-9.3 Units / -13.86% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 29-34 (-8.45 Units / -11.8% ROI).
- 36-29 against the Moneyline (-15.4 Units / -9.45% ROI)
- 35-30 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 2.8% ROI)
- 30-35 against the Under for game total points (-8.5 Units / -11.89% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 99 games (-32.25 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 99 games (-25.90 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 75 games (-23.45 Units / -13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 99 games (-22.65 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 89 games (-18.10 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-17.43 Units / -20% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 37 away games (-15.72 Units / -37% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the Spread in 7 of their last 27 games (-15.00 Units / -51% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 71 games (-14.49 Units / -18% ROI)
- The San Antonio Spurs have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 71 games (-14.32 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Player Injuries for San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Spurs are 5-41 (.109) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .307
The Spurs were 2-24 (.077) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Spurs are 10-40 (.200) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have made 13.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-highest in the NBA.
The Spurs are 19-46 (.292) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .428
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs
The Timberwolves are 67-20 (.770) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have allowed 117.2 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-worst in the NBA.
The Timberwolves were 23-10 (.697) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Timberwolves are 20-13 (.606) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .462
The Timberwolves are 42-20 (.677) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Spurs have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-7th-highest in the NBA.
San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs averaged 29.9 assists per game (2,449 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7
The Spurs have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,778 assists/ 853 TOs) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Spurs shot 35% from three (1,036/2,984) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Spurs shot 34% from three (519/1,511) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 12.0 fast break points per game (865 points/72 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4
The Timberwolves have made 15.1 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4
The Timberwolves averaged 15.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2
The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (979/2,597) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends
The Spurs have averaged 6.3 blocks per game (899 blocks/143 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Spurs have averaged 6.2 blocks per game (379 blocks/61 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Spurs have blocked 379 shots this season — 2nd most among NBA teams
The Spurs averaged 7.1 steals per game (584 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31
The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves stole the ball 647 times last season — 6th most among NBA teams
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