Suns vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Suns are -6.5 favorites vs. the Cavaliers
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOH | KTVK

The Phoenix Suns visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 25-37 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 31-31 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-6.5 -110O 220.5 -110-250
Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 -110U 220.5 -110+200

Cavaliers vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Monday‘s game with 72.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.3% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 40 away games (+23.35 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 49 of their last 75 games (+21.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 91 games (+20.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 38 away games (+18.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 44 games (+16.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 39 games (+20.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 28 games (+15.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+14.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 56 games (+14.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 60 games (+12.35 Units / 9% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 25-37 (-15.9 Units / -22.49% ROI).

  • 37-27 against the Moneyline (-5.6 Units / -3.57% ROI)
  • 27-37 against the Over for game total points (-13.7 Units / -19.46% ROI)
  • 37-27 against the Under for game total points (+7.3 Units / 10.37% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 31-31 (-3 Units / -4.27% ROI).

  • 41-23 against the Moneyline (+10 Units / 6.88% ROI)
  • 28-35 against the Over for game total points (-10.5 Units / -14.9% ROI)
  • 35-28 against the Under for game total points (+4.25 Units / 6.04% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 82 games (-23.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 39 games (-23.15 Units / -55% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-20.45 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 43 games at home (-19.90 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 43 games at home (-19.80 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 91 games (-40.70 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 91 games (-36.65 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 91 games (-32.05 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 91 games (-31.50 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 91 games (-24.60 Units / -25% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Suns were 1-12 (.077) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Suns were 5-11 (.312) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Suns are 10-3 (.769) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580

The Suns are 11-6 (.647) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Cavaliers were 2-17 (.105) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Cavaliers were 7-25 (.219) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .297

The Cavaliers are 21-8 (.724) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Cavaliers are 14-2 (.875) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. SunsMonday‘s Game, Mar. 11

  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.7 second chance points per game (301 points/53 games) in the second half this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (431 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Suns are shooting 50% (2,268/4,545) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (863 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers had an eFG% of 56% last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Cavaliers had a TS% of 52% last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Cavaliers had 22.5 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Cavaliers averaged 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,233 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (374 blocks/68 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns have blocked 316 shots this season — 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/52 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers allowed 21.8 points in the paint per game (1,784 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 24.2

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.