Suns vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 02, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Suns are -3.5 favorites vs. the Hawks
  • Total (Over/Under): 248.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | WPCH

The Phoenix Suns visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Hawks Over/Under is 249.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 18-28 against the spread, while the Hawks are 12-35 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns-3.5 -110O 249.5 -110-160
Atlanta Hawks +3.5 -110U 249.5 -110+135

Hawks vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 61.2% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Suns and Hawks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Hawks vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Hawks will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 60 of their last 86 games (+31.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 58 of their last 88 games (+23.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 59 games (+23.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 50 of their last 78 games (+20.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 away games (+18.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 77 games (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 18-28 (-13 Units / -24.48% ROI).

  • 28-20 against the Moneyline (-5.5 Units / -4.85% ROI)
  • 24-24 against the Over for game total points (-2.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 24-24 against the Under for game total points (-2.4 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 12-35 (-26.45 Units / -51.21% ROI).

  • 20-27 against the Moneyline (-13.3 Units / -17.19% ROI)
  • 26-20 against the Over for game total points (+4 Units / 7.74% ROI)
  • 20-26 against the Under for game total points (-8.6 Units / -16.63% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the Spread in 27 of their last 83 games (-34.55 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 41 games (-23.85 Units / -53% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 79 games (-22.15 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 83 games (-21.25 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 62 games (-21.15 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 86 games (-40.75 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 75 games (-35.80 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 88 games (-35.20 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 75 games (-30.80 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 75 games (-21.70 Units / -26% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Suns were 22-8 (.733) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Suns were 29-16 (.644) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Suns were 5-11 (.312) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Suns were 27-15 (.643) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Hawks were 35-28 (.556) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

The Hawks are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .087

The Hawks are 3-7 (.300) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .403

Injury Report: Hawks vs. SunsFriday‘s Game, Feb. 2

  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • Dejounte Murray (Atlanta Hawks): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Vit Krejci (Atlanta Hawks): Shoulder, Out
  • Bruno Fernando (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Out
  • De’Andre Hunter (Atlanta Hawks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Bol Bol (Phoenix Suns): Foot, Game Time Decision
  • Grayson Allen (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.4 second chance points per game (261 points/48 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns averaged 5.4 fast break points per game (441 points/82 games) in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Suns are shooting 42% (234/556) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Suns averaged 1.4 fast break points per game (84 points/59 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have made 13.6 three-pointers per game this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Hawks had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (2,049 assists/ 1,060 TOs) last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Hawks averaged 54.3 points in the paint per game (4,450 points/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Hawks have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,215 assists/ 648 TOs) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (285 blocks/48 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Suns have blocked 285 shots this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have blocked 717 shots since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th most among NBA teams

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,439 rebounds/129 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,577 rebounds/47 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 60% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Hawks have averaged 7.9 steals per game (372 steals/47 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.