- The Heat are -6.5 favorites vs. the Suns
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Watch the game on SUN | KTVK | AZFS
The Phoenix Suns visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Miami, FL.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Suns vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Suns are 8-13 against the spread, while the Heat are 9-11 against the spread.
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Suns vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phoenix Suns | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Heat.
Heat vs Suns Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 82 games (+15.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 41 away games (+14.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 37 away games (+10.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.30 Units / 31% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 79 games (+16.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 31 of their last 47 games (+14.97 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 47 of their last 80 games (+11.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+10.22 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.06 Units / 35% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 8-13 (-6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI).
- 12-9 against the Moneyline (+0.3 Units / 0.73% ROI)
- 12-9 against the Over for game total points (+2.1 Units / 9.09% ROI)
- 9-12 against the Under for game total points (-4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 9-11 (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI).
- 10-10 against the Moneyline (-0.9 Units / -2.61% ROI)
- 11-9 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI)
- 9-11 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 79 games (-27.78 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.10 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 78 games (-21.40 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 28 of their last 70 games (-19.10 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 88 games (-18.50 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 84 games (-27.38 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 55 games (-25.02 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-22.60 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-22.10 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 41 away games (-20.35 Units / -43% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Miami Heat
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Suns were 17-6 (.739) when they win the turnover margin last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Suns were 18-5 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
The Suns are 26-9 (.743) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .649
The Suns are 20-7 (.741) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Heat are 22-8 (.733) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575
The Heat are 39-14 (.736) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .658
The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
The Heat are 17-3 (.850) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .699
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 1.36 points per shot (4,925 points/3,629 shots) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.26
The Suns averaged 1.35 points per shot (9,532 points/7,063 shots) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
The Suns have averaged 1.32 points per shot (2,378 points/1,795 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Suns averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat averaged 45.1 points in the paint per game (1,850 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Heat averaged 11.1 second chance points per game (454 points/41 games) on the road last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Heat have averaged 53.0 points per game (9,696 points/183 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Suns have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (773 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Suns have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (1,023 blocks/184 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Suns have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (594 blocks/103 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (590 blocks/183 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (288 blocks/90 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (352 blocks/102 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
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