Suns vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 16

  • The Lakers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC | ESPN+

The Phoenix Suns visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA, USA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Suns vs Lakers Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 25-40 against the spread, while the Lakers are 36-28 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+2.5 -105O 226.5 -110+120
Los Angeles Lakers -2.5 -115U 226.5 -110-145

Lakers vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Sunday‘s game with 74.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Lakers.

Lakers vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 54.1% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 away games (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 away games (+10.97 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 away games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 51 of their last 79 games (+20.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games (+17.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1Q Spread in 21 of their last 25 games (+16.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 45 of their last 72 games (+14.52 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 85 games (+14.05 Units / 7% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 25-40 (-18.95 Units / -25.73% ROI).

  • 31-36 against the Moneyline (-17 Units / -12.07% ROI)
  • 34-33 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -3.12% ROI)
  • 33-34 against the Under for game total points (-4.4 Units / -5.97% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 36-28 (+5.2 Units / 7.28% ROI).

  • 40-25 against the Moneyline (+5.55 Units / 4.01% ROI)
  • 31-34 against the Over for game total points (-6.4 Units / -8.96% ROI)
  • 34-31 against the Under for game total points (-0.15 Units / -0.21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 74 games (-23.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 73 games (-22.87 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 76 games (-20.97 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 71 games (-19.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 80 games (-17.22 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 84 games (-33.07 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 82 games (-28.20 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 27 of their last 76 games (-24.65 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 52 games (-19.60 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 70 games (-19.51 Units / -21% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Suns are 9-14 (.391) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Suns were 21-14 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Suns were 39-26 (.600) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Suns are 25-10 (.714) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .588

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Lakers are 18-6 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Suns have averaged 50.2 rebounds/game this season — 4th-lowest in the NBA.

The Lakers are winless (0-10) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .092

The Lakers are 17-7 (.708) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Lakers are 15-5 (.750) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.5 second chance points per game (820 points/149 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns have averaged 6.1 fast break points per game (410 points/67 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Suns have averaged 14.1 offensive rebounds per game (946 rebounds/67 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.1

The Suns have averaged 1.34 points per shot (8,797 points/6,545 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers have averaged 11.2 second chance points per game (1,647 points/147 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9

The Lakers have averaged 5.0 second chance points per game (735 points/147 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,400 rebounds/149 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Suns have averaged 7.2 steals per game (483 steals/67 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (305 blocks/65 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Lakers have averaged 7.5 steals per game (1,100 steals/147 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Lakers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,347 rebounds/147 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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