Suns vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 01, 2024, 3:00 PM
  • The Pelicans are -1.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | BSNO | NBAt

The Phoenix Suns visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Pelicans Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 30-42 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 40-32 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+1.5 -110O 223.5 -110+100
New Orleans Pelicans -1.5 -110U 223.5 -110-120

Pelicans vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Monday‘s game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 54.6% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 44 away games (+16.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 away games (+14.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+13.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 away games (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 54 of their last 76 games (+32.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 70 games (+22.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 30 of their last 42 games (+17.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+13.80 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 30-42 (-16.2 Units / -19.9% ROI).

  • 43-31 against the Moneyline (-9.05 Units / -4.81% ROI)
  • 33-40 against the Over for game total points (-11.05 Units / -13.57% ROI)
  • 40-33 against the Under for game total points (+3.7 Units / 4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 40-32 (+4.8 Units / 5.9% ROI).

  • 45-29 against the Moneyline (+8.9 Units / 5.27% ROI)
  • 31-43 against the Over for game total points (-16.3 Units / -20.02% ROI)
  • 43-31 against the Under for game total points (+8.9 Units / 10.93% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 61 games (-22.30 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 64 games (-20.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.60 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 30 games (-14.45 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 40 games at home (-12.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 90 games (-42.60 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 90 games (-27.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 85 games (-24.95 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 88 games (-21.10 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 54 games (-18.45 Units / -31% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Suns are 14-5 (.737) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — T-7th-worst in the NBA.

The Suns are 14-3 (.824) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

The Suns were 1-12 (.077) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Suns are winless (0-13) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .091

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Pelicans are 15-2 (.882) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best in the NBA. The Suns have allowed 13.3 made three-pointers per game this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 22-14 (.611) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pelicans are 23-5 (.821) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .687

The Pelicans were 20-11 (.645) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Pelicans vs. SunsMonday‘s Game, Apr. 1

  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
  • Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.7 second chance points per game (422 points/74 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (431 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

The Suns have averaged 5.6 fast break points per game (870 points/156 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Suns have averaged 13.3 fast break points per game (987 points/74 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Pelicans have averaged 1.32 points per shot (8,528 points/6,479 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (907/2,398) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have a 26% free throw rate (1,713 free throw attempts/6,479 field goal attempts) this season — 7th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,695 rebounds/74 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (884 blocks/156 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Suns have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,550 rebounds/156 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns allowed an average of 1.44 points per shot (1,283 points/894 shots) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.32

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,660 rebounds/74 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (499/1,493) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (986/2,984) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.