Suns vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 5

  • The Suns are -2.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | GCSE | AZFS

The Phoenix Suns visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Suns vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 8-12 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 7-15 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns O
New Orleans Pelicans U

Pelicans vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 55.5% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 81 games (+17.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 41 away games (+14.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 86 games (+9.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 2Q Spread in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 79 games (+15.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.73 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 86 games (+13.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 64 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 87 games (+11.80 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 8-12 (-5.2 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 12-8 against the Moneyline (+1.55 Units / 3.9% ROI)
  • 11-9 against the Over for game total points (+1.1 Units / 5% ROI)
  • 9-11 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 7-15 (-9.5 Units / -39.26% ROI).

  • 4-18 against the Moneyline (-15.35 Units / -58.03% ROI)
  • 10-11 against the Over for game total points (-2.1 Units / -8.68% ROI)
  • 11-10 against the Under for game total points (+0 Units / 0% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 81 games (-26.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 86 games (-26.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 37 games (-25.65 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-25.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 24 of their last 68 games (-23.05 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 83 games (-28.38 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 18 of their last 54 games (-23.92 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 31 of their last 83 games (-23.60 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 86 games (-22.10 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 41 away games (-20.30 Units / -43% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Suns are 26-8 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 13.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-worst in the NBA.

The Suns are 17-5 (.773) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .609

The Suns are 46-32 (.590) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .488

The Suns were 39-26 (.600) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Pelicans are 1-9 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Suns have shot 38% from three this season — 9th-best in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans are 1-8 (.111) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446

The Pelicans are 15-34 (.306) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Suns have averaged 52.0 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-highest in the NBA.

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (472 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns averaged 1.35 points per shot (9,532 points/7,063 shots) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Suns have an eFG% of 55% this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Suns have averaged 5.7 second chance points per game (582 points/102 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 1.14 points per shot (1,117 points/976 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Pelicans have averaged 1.16 points per shot (2,273 points/1,959 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 48% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans have made 10.6 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.4

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (735 rebounds/20 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Suns have averaged 7.6 steals per game (151 steals/20 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Suns have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (591 blocks/102 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Suns have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (3,717 rebounds/102 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (558/1,639) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,211/3,586) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.4 steals per game (1,563 steals/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans stole the ball 684 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.