Suns vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 5

  • The Thunder are -11.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | AZFS | FDOK | ESPN

The Phoenix Suns visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Suns vs Thunder Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 16-31 against the spread, while the Thunder are 29-17 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+12.5 -105O 229.5 -110+525
Oklahoma City Thunder -12.5 -115U 229.5 -110-750

Thunder vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Thunder.

Thunder vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+9.22 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+8.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 47 of their last 81 games (+8.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 89 games (+17.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 39 of their last 63 games (+15.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 65 games (+13.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 48 of their last 71 games (+9.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 16-31 (-18.1 Units / -33.58% ROI).

  • 25-24 against the Moneyline (-8.65 Units / -7.7% ROI)
  • 24-25 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -6.49% ROI)
  • 25-24 against the Under for game total points (-1.4 Units / -2.6% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 29-17 (+10.3 Units / 19.11% ROI).

  • 39-10 against the Moneyline (+10 Units / 4.04% ROI)
  • 26-22 against the Over for game total points (+1.8 Units / 3.34% ROI)
  • 22-26 against the Under for game total points (-6.6 Units / -12.24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 65 games (-16.20 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 46 games at home (-14.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 76 games (-13.83 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 71 games (-13.72 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 45 games (-13.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 83 games (-33.82 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 80 games (-27.00 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 52 games (-22.26 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 64 games (-19.85 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-19.81 Units / -21% ROI)

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Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Suns are 7-12 (.368) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .474

The Suns are 19-8 (.704) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .616

The Suns were 18-5 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Suns are 12-5 (.706) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .598

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder are 17-4 (.810) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Thunder are 29-4 (.879) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Thunder are 61-10 (.859) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (733 points/131 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Suns averaged 1.35 points per shot (9,532 points/7,063 shots) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Suns averaged 21.4 points in the paint per game (1,758 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Suns have averaged 14.3 offensive rebounds per game (703 rebounds/49 games) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have a 21% free throw rate (921 free throw attempts/4,432 field goal attempts) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 7.5 steals per game (984 steals/131 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Suns averaged 6.0 blocks per game (491 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Suns have averaged 7.5 steals per game (495 steals/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.1 steals per game (531 steals/48 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (289/905) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.