- The Suns are -1.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
- Watch the game on KTVK | KSBI
The Phoenix Suns visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Suns vs Thunder Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Suns are 30-41 against the spread, while the Thunder are 41-30 against the spread.
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Suns vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phoenix Suns | -1.5 -110 | O 227.5 -105 | -125 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | +1.5 -110 | U 227.5 -115 | +105 |
Thunder vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Suns will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Thunder.
Thunder vs Suns Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.
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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 91 games (+15.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 away games (+15.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games (+14.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 away games (+8.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have covered the 1H Spread in 45 of their last 78 games (+8.10 Units / 9% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 games at home (+19.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 22 of their last 27 games at home (+16.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 63 games (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 44 of their last 76 games (+9.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 30-41 (-15.1 Units / -18.8% ROI).
- 43-30 against the Moneyline (-7.8 Units / -4.17% ROI)
- 32-40 against the Over for game total points (-12.05 Units / -15% ROI)
- 40-32 against the Under for game total points (+4.8 Units / 5.98% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 41-30 (+8 Units / 10.1% ROI).
- 50-22 against the Moneyline (+12.3 Units / 5.27% ROI)
- 37-31 against the Over for game total points (+2.9 Units / 3.66% ROI)
- 31-37 against the Under for game total points (-9.6 Units / -12.14% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-20.90 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 69 games (-18.35 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 78 games (-15.25 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 48 games (-14.30 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 42 games (-12.45 Units / -15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 27 of their last 91 games (-43.55 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 91 games (-29.00 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 84 games (-23.75 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-20.00 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 53 games (-19.45 Units / -33% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Suns were 28-17 (.622) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531
The Suns are 18-14 (.562) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .445
The Suns were 13-2 (.867) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808
The Suns were 16-4 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Thunder are 21-2 (.913) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Thunder are 20-5 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .598
The Thunder are 20-2 (.909) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .691
The Thunder were 18-26 (.409) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457
Injury Report: Thunder vs. Suns – Friday‘s Game, Mar. 29
- Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
- Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
- Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
- Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (1,844 points/155 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (1,973 assists/ 1,090 TOs) this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Suns averaged 1.4 fast break points per game (84 points/59 games) in close and late situations last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Suns have averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,414 points/3,231 shots) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have a TS% of 54% this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (486/1,216) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have averaged 10.6 second chance points per game (380 points/36 games) on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/73 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Suns have averaged 35.6 defensive rebounds per game (5,523 rebounds/155 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Suns have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (446 blocks/73 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Suns have averaged 7.2 steals per game (526 steals/73 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have allowed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,393 rebounds/154 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 7.9
The Thunder have forced 16.3 turnovers per game (2,510 turnovers/154 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Thunder have averaged 8.3 steals per game (599 steals/72 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Thunder stole the ball 676 times last season — 4th most among NBA teams
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