Suns vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 15

  • The Thunder are -7.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | AZFS | FDOK

The Phoenix Suns visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Suns vs Thunder Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 4-8 against the spread, while the Thunder are 8-4 against the spread.


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Suns vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+7.5 -105O 227.5 -115+260
Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5 -115U 227.5 -105-350

Thunder vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the will win Friday‘s game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Thunder.

Thunder vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with confidence.


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  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 83 games (+18.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 away games (+13.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 78 games (+7.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 34 away games (+7.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 44 games at home (+24.35 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 44 games at home (+15.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 93 games (+10.27 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+8.65 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 4-8 (-4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • 9-3 against the Moneyline (+6.65 Units / 25.19% ROI)
  • 8-4 against the Over for game total points (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 4-8 against the Under for game total points (-4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 8-4 (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 10-2 against the Moneyline (+4.95 Units / 9.03% ROI)
  • 6-6 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 6-6 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 93 games (-18.23 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 80 games (-16.20 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 64 games (-15.13 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 80 games (-14.60 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 68 games (-13.85 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 88 games (-34.95 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 85 games (-30.73 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 81 games (-25.00 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 81 games (-21.45 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 46 games (-21.07 Units / -39% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Suns were 21-14 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Suns were 41-26 (.612) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Suns are 24-7 (.774) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .648

The Suns are 19-6 (.760) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder are 29-6 (.829) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .571

The Thunder are 26-6 (.812) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .607

Injury Report: Thunder vs. SunsFriday‘s Game, Nov. 15

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • Phoenix Suns – No Injuries Reported

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 21.5 points in the paint per game (2,018 points/94 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.6 (164 assists/ 64 TOs) in the second half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Suns averaged 1.35 points per shot (9,532 points/7,063 shots) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Suns have averaged 6.5 fast break points per game (1,141 points/176 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (142 turnovers/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,115 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (68 blocks/12 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have blocked 68 shots this season — tied for 7th most among NBA teams

The Suns have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (445 rebounds/12 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.7 steals per game (152 steals/12 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have averaged 9.0 steals per game (846 steals/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (435 steals/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6


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