Suns vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 17

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 17, 2024, 3:34 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -7.5 favorites vs. the Suns
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on KTVK | FDSN | AZFS

The Phoenix Suns visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Suns vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Suns are 4-9 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 5-8 against the spread.


Bet now on Timberwolves vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


Suns vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phoenix Suns+7.5 -110O 218.5 -110+230
Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5 -110U 218.5 -110-300

Timberwolves vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday‘s game with 79.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Suns Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 56.1% confidence.


Bet now on Timberwolves vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 84 games (+19.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 40 away games (+13.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 63 of their last 99 games (+22.63 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+10.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games at home (+8.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+8.45 Units / 11% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 4-9 (-5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI).

  • 9-4 against the Moneyline (+5.65 Units / 20.62% ROI)
  • 8-5 against the Over for game total points (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI)
  • 5-8 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 5-8 (-3.85 Units / -26.83% ROI).

  • 7-6 against the Moneyline (-8.95 Units / -18.82% ROI)
  • 8-5 against the Over for game total points (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI)
  • 5-8 against the Under for game total points (-3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 100 games (-38.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 97 games (-23.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-23.15 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 41 of their last 97 games (-22.75 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 97 games (-22.20 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 88 games (-32.75 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 86 games (-31.83 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 82 games (-26.10 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 82 games (-22.45 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 15 of their last 47 games (-22.22 Units / -41% ROI)

Jump to:

Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Suns are 50-29 (.633) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Suns were 13-4 (.765) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Suns are 16-4 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .606

The Suns are 26-10 (.722) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns

The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Timberwolves were 24-10 (.706) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Timberwolves are 25-14 (.641) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Timberwolves were 1-10 (.091) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. SunsSunday‘s Game, Nov. 17

  • Minnesota Timberwolves – No Injuries Reported
  • Phoenix Suns – No Injuries Reported

Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends

The Suns have averaged 18.6 points in the paint per game (242 points/13 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.9

The Suns have averaged 39.5 points in the paint per game (514 points/13 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.3

The Suns have averaged 21.3 points in the paint per game (2,028 points/95 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.5

The Suns had an eFG% of 56% last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 12.1 fast break points per game (568 points/47 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.0

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (1,037/2,681) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (213 turnovers/13 games) this season — 7th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends

The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Suns have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (484 rebounds/13 games) this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Suns have averaged 7.5 steals per game (98 steals/13 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Suns have averaged 36.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,466 rebounds/95 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 50% at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Timberwolves have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (318 blocks/47 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.3

The Timberwolves have allowed a TS% of 48% at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%


Bet now on Timberwolves vs Suns and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.