- The Suns are -1.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | KTVK | AZFS | NSBA
The Phoenix Suns visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA, USA.
The Suns are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Suns vs Warriors Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Suns are 15-29 against the spread, while the Warriors are 24-23 against the spread.
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Suns vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phoenix Suns | -1.5 -105 | O 228.5 -110 | -120 |
| Golden State Warriors | +1.5 -115 | U 228.5 -110 | +100 |
Warriors vs Suns Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Suns and Warriors.
Warriors vs Suns Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+9.33 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+10.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+7.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 15-29 (-16.9 Units / -33.4% ROI).
- 24-22 against the Moneyline (-5.9 Units / -5.5% ROI)
- 21-25 against the Over for game total points (-6.5 Units / -12.85% ROI)
- 25-21 against the Under for game total points (+1.9 Units / 3.75% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 24-23 (-1.4 Units / -2.7% ROI).
- 24-23 against the Moneyline (-9.9 Units / -10.15% ROI)
- 22-25 against the Over for game total points (-5.5 Units / -10.64% ROI)
- 25-22 against the Under for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 72 games (-28.81 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games at home (-24.10 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-19.00 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 61 games (-18.77 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-18.65 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 80 games (-32.52 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 27 of their last 77 games (-25.80 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-21.01 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 49 games (-20.41 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 85 games (-19.95 Units / -20% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Suns were 22-11 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Suns were 17-6 (.739) when they win the turnover margin last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Suns were 41-26 (.612) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
The Suns are 14-7 (.667) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .578
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Warriors are 9-1 (.900) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .535
The Warriors were 20-3 (.870) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822
The Warriors are 1-8 (.111) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .194
The Warriors are 20-6 (.769) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .664
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 5.8 second chance points per game (472 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Suns have averaged 5.6 second chance points per game (723 points/128 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Suns have averaged 45.2 points in the paint per game (5,788 points/128 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6
The Suns shot 38% from three (1,020/2,671) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors are shooting 72% from the free throw line (675/934) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Warriors have a 22% free throw rate (1,871 free throw attempts/8,511 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%
The Warriors have 19.9 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,982 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Suns have blocked 718 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Suns have averaged 7.6 steals per game (350 steals/46 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Suns have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (6,672 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,717 rebounds/129 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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