- The Bucks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
- Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | BSWI | BSOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Thunder vs Bucks Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 40-28 against the spread, while the Bucks are 31-38 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | +2.5 -115 | O 233.5 -110 | +110 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | -2.5 -105 | U 233.5 -110 | -135 |
Bucks vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday‘s game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Bucks.
Bucks vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 73 games (+16.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 60 games (+12.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 43 of their last 73 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 77 games (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.40 Units / 25% ROI)
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 33 games at home (+12.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 50 of their last 85 games (+10.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 40-28 (+9.2 Units / 12.12% ROI).
- 49-20 against the Moneyline (+14.15 Units / 6.17% ROI)
- 35-30 against the Over for game total points (+2 Units / 2.63% ROI)
- 30-35 against the Under for game total points (-8.4 Units / -11.08% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 31-38 (-10.8 Units / -14.04% ROI).
- 45-25 against the Moneyline (-10.05 Units / -4.07% ROI)
- 35-35 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 35-35 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 77 games (-27.00 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-23.35 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 42 games at home (-21.80 Units / -46% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 63 games (-19.00 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 85 games (-17.95 Units / -19% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.60 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 66 games (-17.15 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 79 games (-16.45 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 45 games (-15.15 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 80 games (-13.05 Units / -14% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Thunder are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .091
The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808
The Thunder are winless (0-7) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .151
The Thunder are 35-13 (.729) when they win the turnover margin this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Bucks were 25-7 (.781) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466
The Bucks are 26-7 (.788) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 5th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — T-5th-worst in the NBA.
Injury Report: Bucks vs. Thunder – Sunday‘s Game, Mar. 24
- Khris Middleton (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out
- Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder are shooting 40% from three (471/1,165) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have averaged 10.6 second chance points per game (361 points/34 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
The Thunder have averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (794 points/69 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 1.52 points per shot (1,196 points/789 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.33
The Bucks have an eFG% of 58% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Bucks have 24.8 free throw attempts per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.0
The Bucks have averaged 1.40 points per shot (4,187 points/2,988 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 6.7 blocks per game (463 blocks/69 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Thunder have averaged 8.4 steals per game (578 steals/69 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
The Thunder averaged 4.2 blocks per game (341 blocks/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks have averaged 38.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,840 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (4,607 points/3,889 shots) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28
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