Thunder vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 8

  • The Cavaliers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDOK | FDOH | ESPN

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Cleveland, OH.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Cavaliers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 23-11 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 25-10 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder O
Cleveland Cavaliers U

Cavaliers vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Wednesday‘s game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.4% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 81 games (+21.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 33 of their last 50 games (+16.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 88 games (+13.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 away games (+10.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 39 games (+26.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 27 games at home (+20.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 51 games (+17.58 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 67 games (+16.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 27 of their last 37 games (+16.00 Units / 39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 23-11 (+10.9 Units / 27.53% ROI).

  • 30-6 against the Moneyline (+13.75 Units / 9.05% ROI)
  • 15-20 against the Over for game total points (-7 Units / -17.68% ROI)
  • 20-15 against the Under for game total points (+3.5 Units / 8.84% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 25-10 (+14 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • 31-4 against the Moneyline (+22.95 Units / 14.28% ROI)
  • 23-12 against the Over for game total points (+9.8 Units / 25.45% ROI)
  • 12-23 against the Under for game total points (-13.3 Units / -34.55% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 85 games (-27.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 69 games (-24.00 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 92 games (-23.30 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 67 games (-23.30 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 72 games (-22.22 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-25.43 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 93 games (-20.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 42 of their last 92 games (-15.60 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 92 games (-14.90 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 94 games (-14.70 Units / -14% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Thunder are 9-1 (.900) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Cavaliers have averaged 50.7 rebounds/game this season — 7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Thunder are undefeated (10-0) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .753

The Thunder are 21-2 (.913) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .526

The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Cavaliers are undefeated (9-0) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .553

The Cavaliers are 21-3 (.875) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .496

The Cavaliers are 14-1 (.933) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Cavaliers are 18-1 (.947) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .605

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 59% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers are shooting 40% from three (571/1,412) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers are shooting 50% (1,579/3,135) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Cavaliers have a TS% of 56% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.8 steals per game (412 steals/35 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 47% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,270/2,983) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 46%

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (166 blocks/35 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers averaged 4.6 blocks per game (380 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,270 rebounds/35 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (6,558 rebounds/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.