Thunder vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 25

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 25, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Thunder are -4.5 favorites vs. the Kings
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | NSCA | FDOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Kings Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 9-7 against the spread, while the Kings are 6-10 against the spread.


Bet now on Kings vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Thunder vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-3.5 -115O 226.5 -105-165
Sacramento Kings +3.5 -105U 226.5 -115+135

Kings vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 78.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Kings.

Kings vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.


Bet now on Kings vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 49 of their last 86 games (+11.77 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 91 games (+10.50 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 91 games (+7.18 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 68 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+16.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.25 Units / 22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 9-7 (+1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI).

  • 12-4 against the Moneyline (-0.9 Units / -1.23% ROI)
  • 7-9 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI)
  • 9-7 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 6-10 (-5 Units / -26.74% ROI).

  • 8-9 against the Moneyline (-10.95 Units / -24.72% ROI)
  • 8-9 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI)
  • 9-8 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 76 games (-40.05 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 84 games (-34.53 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 80 games (-28.21 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-20.27 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-19.40 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.55 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 86 games (-17.35 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 68 games (-16.48 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 84 games (-14.85 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 78 games (-14.40 Units / -16% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Thunder were 21-5 (.808) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Thunder are 27-12 (.692) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .584

The Thunder are 26-3 (.897) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .695

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Kings are undefeated (11-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .895

The Kings were 14-6 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Kings are 19-13 (.594) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Kings were 16-7 (.696) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 3.6 (40 assists/ 11 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Thunder averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (450 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings are shooting 31% from three (78/252) in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Kings averaged 116.6 points per game (9,558 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Kings have averaged 12.6 fast break points per game (215 points/17 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4

The Kings are shooting 48% (715/1,481) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.4 steals per game (199 steals/16 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have 199 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Thunder averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have averaged 9.1 steals per game (893 steals/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (701 blocks/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings have allowed 11.3 second chance points per game (1,120 points/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9

The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6


Bet now on Kings vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.