- The Thunder are -4.5 favorites vs. the Kings
- Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | NSCA | FDOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Thunder vs Kings Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 9-7 against the spread, while the Kings are 6-10 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -3.5 -105 | O 226.5 -115 | -155 |
| Sacramento Kings | +3.5 -115 | U 226.5 -105 | +125 |
Kings vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 78.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Kings.
Kings vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 49 of their last 86 games (+11.77 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 91 games (+10.50 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 51 of their last 91 games (+7.18 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 68 games (+7.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+16.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 39 games (+13.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 9-7 (+1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI).
- 12-4 against the Moneyline (-0.9 Units / -1.23% ROI)
- 7-9 against the Over for game total points (-2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI)
- 9-7 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 6-10 (-5 Units / -26.74% ROI).
- 8-9 against the Moneyline (-10.95 Units / -24.72% ROI)
- 8-9 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI)
- 9-8 against the Under for game total points (+0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 76 games (-40.05 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 84 games (-34.53 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 80 games (-28.21 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-20.27 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-19.40 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.55 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 86 games (-17.35 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 68 games (-16.48 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 84 games (-14.85 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 78 games (-14.40 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Sacramento Kings
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Thunder were 21-5 (.808) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
The Thunder are 27-12 (.692) when their opponents turns the ball over 20 or more times since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .584
The Thunder are 26-3 (.897) when assisting on 30 or more field goals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .695
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Kings are undefeated (11-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .895
The Kings were 14-6 (.700) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Kings are 19-13 (.594) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
The Kings were 16-7 (.696) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 3.6 (40 assists/ 11 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Thunder averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (450 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings are shooting 31% from three (78/252) in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Kings averaged 116.6 points per game (9,558 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Kings have averaged 12.6 fast break points per game (215 points/17 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.4
The Kings are shooting 48% (715/1,481) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 12.4 steals per game (199 steals/16 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder have 199 steals this season — most among NBA teams
The Thunder averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Thunder have averaged 9.1 steals per game (893 steals/98 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (701 blocks/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Kings have allowed 11.3 second chance points per game (1,120 points/99 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.9
The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6
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