Thunder vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 15, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Lakers are -1.5 favorites vs. the Thunder
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | SPEC | BSOK

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles, CA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Thunder vs Lakers Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 26-11 against the spread, while the Lakers are 17-24 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-1.5 +100O 238.5 -110-115
Los Angeles Lakers +1.5 -120U 238.5 -110-105

Lakers vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Thunder and Lakers, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Lakers vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.9% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 50 of their last 75 games (+21.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 42 games (+18.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 42 games (+15.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 27 games (+14.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 55 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 59 of their last 98 games (+19.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+17.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 4Q Spread in 60 of their last 98 games (+17.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+12.65 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 26-11 (+13.95 Units / 33.49% ROI).

  • 27-11 against the Moneyline (+15.65 Units / 18.26% ROI)
  • 22-15 against the Over for game total points (+5.5 Units / 13.16% ROI)
  • 15-22 against the Under for game total points (-9.2 Units / -22.01% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 17-24 (-9.5 Units / -20.99% ROI).

  • 20-21 against the Moneyline (-4.9 Units / -6.77% ROI)
  • 21-20 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -2.22% ROI)
  • 20-21 against the Under for game total points (-3.15 Units / -6.98% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 96 games (-34.75 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 1H Spread in 36 of their last 96 games (-29.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 93 games (-24.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 45 games at home (-22.40 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 85 games (-20.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 75 games (-31.35 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 75 games (-22.05 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 72 games (-14.65 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 75 games (-14.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-12.90 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Thunder are undefeated (8-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .629

The Thunder are 8-1 (.889) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Thunder are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .084

The Thunder are 25-11 (.694) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Lakers are 6-14 (.300) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .371

The Lakers are 4-1 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Lakers are 8-12 (.400) when they lose the turnover margin this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .461

The Lakers were 9-24 (.273) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .366

Injury Report: Lakers vs. ThunderMonday‘s Game, Jan. 15

  • Gabe Vincent (Los Angeles Lakers): Knee, Out
  • LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Jarred Vanderbilt (Los Angeles Lakers): Heel, Game Time Decision
  • Anthony Davis (Los Angeles Lakers): Hip, Game Time Decision
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have a TS% of 56% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have an eFG% of 60% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Thunder are shooting 42% from three (264/622) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 10.3 second chance points per game (390 points/38 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers have averaged 9.9 second chance points per game (396 points/40 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Lakers have averaged 4.3 second chance points per game (173 points/40 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.2

The Lakers had 26.6 free throw attempts per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Lakers had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (304 assists/ 149 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.6

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (381 rebounds/38 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.1

The Thunder have allowed 19.9 offensive rebounds per game (757 rebounds/38 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.8

The Thunder have allowed 19.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,118 rebounds/58 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.5

The Thunder forced 16.8 turnovers per game (1,375 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.1

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,116 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,489 rebounds/40 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Lakers have averaged 37.7 defensive rebounds per game (4,605 rebounds/122 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have blocked 222 shots this season — tied for 9th most among NBA teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.