- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on ABC
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Denver, CO, CO.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Thunder vs Nuggets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 56-30 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 43-47 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | O | ||
| Denver Nuggets | U |
Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 57 of their last 91 games (+24.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 75 games (+19.10 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 29 games (+15.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 71 games (+14.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 44 away games (+14.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 44 games at home (+20.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 63 games (+14.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 90 games (+14.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+11.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 56-30 (+23 Units / 23.23% ROI).
- 73-17 against the Moneyline (+17.2 Units / 3.42% ROI)
- 49-40 against the Over for game total points (+5 Units / 5.05% ROI)
- 40-49 against the Under for game total points (-13.9 Units / -14.04% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 43-47 (-8.7 Units / -8.6% ROI).
- 56-36 against the Moneyline (+7.25 Units / 2.81% ROI)
- 54-38 against the Over for game total points (+12.2 Units / 12.06% ROI)
- 38-54 against the Under for game total points (-21.4 Units / -21.15% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 90 games (-29.85 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 94 games (-25.40 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 87 games (-24.02 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 90 games (-23.40 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 90 games (-23.08 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 71 games (-25.10 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-22.25 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 71 games (-21.15 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.48 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 62 games (-18.80 Units / -28% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596
The Thunder are 95-27 (.779) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570
The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Thunder are 19-5 (.792) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Nuggets were 25-8 (.758) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
The Nuggets are 89-52 (.631) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491
The Nuggets are 45-29 (.608) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (913 points/82 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 59.4 points in the paint per game (2,434 points/41 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (302 assists/ 122 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets have averaged 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,796 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.0
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,541 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,514/3,496) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,505/3,504) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,977 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 7.6 steals per game (1,241 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Nuggets have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (859 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
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