Thunder vs Nuggets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 06, 2024, 3:31 PM
  • The Thunder are -7.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDOK | ALT

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Thunder vs Nuggets Over/Under is 223.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 6-1 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 2-5 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-6.5 -115O 223.5 -110-275
Denver Nuggets +6.5 -105U 223.5 -110+225

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Nuggets.

Nuggets vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 66.3% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+23.90 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 90 games (+12.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 54 of their last 93 games (+12.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+10.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.08 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+9.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 85 games (+9.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 29 of their last 47 games at home (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.05 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 6-1 (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI).

  • 7-0 against the Moneyline (+7.1 Units / 20.88% ROI)
  • 2-5 against the Over for game total points (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI)
  • 5-2 against the Under for game total points (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 2-5 (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI).

  • 4-3 against the Moneyline (-1.45 Units / -6.58% ROI)
  • 5-2 against the Over for game total points (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI)
  • 2-5 against the Under for game total points (-3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 72 games (-28.80 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 91 games (-20.00 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 93 games (-18.73 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 93 games (-17.60 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 94 games (-16.45 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 75 games (-19.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 88 games (-16.75 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 63 games (-16.65 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 59 games (-15.73 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 77 games (-15.65 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Thunder were 24-3 (.889) when winning the rebounding margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder were 14-3 (.824) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Thunder were 26-18 (.591) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets were 10-3 (.769) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Thunder allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game last season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets are 28-7 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .583

The Nuggets were 25-8 (.758) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

Injury Report: Nuggets vs. ThunderWednesday‘s Game, Nov. 6

  • Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported
  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Nuggets averaged 28.9 assists per game (2,369 assists/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Thunder averaged 8.2 steals per game (676 steals/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Thunder averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,072 rebounds/171 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.