Thunder vs Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 13

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on FDOK | GCSE

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in New Orleans, LA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 52-26 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 33-46 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder O
New Orleans Pelicans U

Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Pelicans.

Pelicans vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 58 of their last 91 games (+26.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 67 games (+20.15 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 63 games (+19.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+15.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 away games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 48 of their last 76 games (+15.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+11.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 52-26 (+23.4 Units / 25.94% ROI).

  • 67-15 against the Moneyline (+18.25 Units / 4.04% ROI)
  • 46-35 against the Over for game total points (+7.5 Units / 8.31% ROI)
  • 35-46 against the Under for game total points (-15.6 Units / -17.29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 33-46 (-17.55 Units / -19.71% ROI).

  • 21-60 against the Moneyline (-30.55 Units / -29.78% ROI)
  • 45-34 against the Over for game total points (+7.6 Units / 8.53% ROI)
  • 34-45 against the Under for game total points (-15.5 Units / -17.4% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 88 games (-35.85 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 76 games (-27.12 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 72 games (-22.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 35 of their last 88 games (-21.05 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 79 games (-20.44 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 63 games (-28.80 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 78 games (-23.85 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 54 games (-20.50 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 75 games (-18.83 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-18.07 Units / -20% ROI)

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Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Thunder are 19-5 (.792) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .437

The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .595

The Thunder are 81-11 (.880) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Thunder are 94-27 (.777) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .569

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans are 2-27 (.069) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 38% from three this season — 5th-best in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 2-10 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Pelicans are 1-8 (.111) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (459 turnovers/81 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (951 turnovers/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (138/361) in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Pelicans have averaged 110.0 points per game (8,906 points/81 games) this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8

The Pelicans averaged 25.6 points in the paint per game (2,098 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pelicans have averaged 1.22 points per shot (8,906 points/7,277 shots) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.4 steals per game (839 steals/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,479/3,405) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (792 steals/83 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,533 steals/163 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 9.0 steals per game (719 steals/80 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have averaged 5.2 blocks per game (425 blocks/81 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (558/1,639) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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