- The Thunder are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
- Watch the game on GCSE | FDOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Smoothie King Center to take on the New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in New Orleans, LA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Thunder vs Pelicans Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 13-9 against the spread, while the Pelicans are 8-15 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | O | ||
New Orleans Pelicans | U |
Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Pelicans.
Pelicans vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.5% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 94 games (+13.60 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 53 of their last 92 games (+13.44 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 away games (+8.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+14.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 67 games (+13.63 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 87 games (+12.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 65 games (+11.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 88 games (+10.80 Units / 7% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 13-9 (+3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI).
- 17-5 against the Moneyline (+2.9 Units / 3.08% ROI)
- 10-12 against the Over for game total points (-3.2 Units / -13.22% ROI)
- 12-10 against the Under for game total points (+1 Units / 4.13% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 8-15 (-8.5 Units / -33.6% ROI).
- 5-18 against the Moneyline (-14.3 Units / -52.09% ROI)
- 11-11 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -4.35% ROI)
- 11-11 against the Under for game total points (-1.1 Units / -4.35% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 82 games (-25.70 Units / -28% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-25.00 Units / -25% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 38 games (-24.60 Units / -43% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-24.10 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 25 of their last 69 games (-22.05 Units / -28% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 90 games (-19.05 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 74 games (-17.98 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 90 games (-17.50 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 92 games (-15.65 Units / -15% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 78 games (-14.70 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Thunder are 52-16 (.765) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Thunder are 8-1 (.889) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Thunder are 34-8 (.810) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575
The Thunder were 49-22 (.690) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Pelicans are 18-4 (.818) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-2nd-best in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 13.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA.
The Pelicans are 4-9 (.308) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444
The Pelicans were 28-14 (.667) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 1.17 points per shot (1,189 points/1,016 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Pelicans have a TS% of 45% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Pelicans have averaged 1.17 points per shot (2,399 points/2,054 shots) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
The Pelicans have made 10.7 three-pointers per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 12.0 steals per game (265 steals/22 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Thunder have averaged 9.6 steals per game (499 steals/52 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
The Thunder have averaged 9.2 steals per game (959 steals/104 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.7
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 46% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,211/3,586) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (558/1,639) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
The Pelicans have 211 steals this season — 5th most among NBA teams
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