- The Thunder are -5.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Watch the game on FDOK | SCHN
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Houston, TX.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-102).
The Thunder vs Rockets Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 49-24 against the spread, while the Rockets are 41-36 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -6.5 -102 | O 227.5 -115 | -250 |
| Houston Rockets | +6.5 -118 | U 227.5 -105 | +200 |
Rockets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Friday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Rockets.
Rockets vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 56.8% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 59 of their last 91 games (+28.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 92 games (+26.45 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 58 games (+19.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 43 away games (+17.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 16 games (+16.15 Units / 31% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 76 games (+16.17 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 21 games (+14.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 46 of their last 76 games (+14.08 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 83 games (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 82 games (+9.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 49-24 (+22.6 Units / 26.68% ROI).
- 64-13 against the Moneyline (+21.25 Units / 4.89% ROI)
- 42-34 against the Over for game total points (+4.6 Units / 5.43% ROI)
- 34-42 against the Under for game total points (-12.2 Units / -14.4% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 41-36 (+1.4 Units / 1.65% ROI).
- 50-27 against the Moneyline (-4 Units / -1.93% ROI)
- 40-36 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.47% ROI)
- 36-40 against the Under for game total points (-7.9 Units / -9.34% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 84 games (-21.35 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 29 games at home (-20.30 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 84 games (-19.00 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 83 games (-16.30 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 79 games (-15.78 Units / -17% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 58 games (-27.40 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 73 games (-18.05 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 93 games (-17.50 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 49 games (-17.10 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 93 games (-15.97 Units / -15% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Thunder are 91-26 (.778) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Thunder are 15-2 (.882) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560
The Thunder are 18-4 (.818) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .440
The Thunder are 62-9 (.873) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .593
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Rockets are 48-27 (.640) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .495
The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Rockets are 13-1 (.929) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .749
The Rockets are 36-13 (.735) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .593
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 11.8 turnovers per game (900 turnovers/76 games) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 22.7 offensive rebounds per game (1,751 rebounds/77 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have averaged 18.6 second chance points per game (726 points/39 games) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.2
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 10.4 steals per game (791 steals/76 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (2,865/6,593) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Thunder have averaged 9.6 steals per game (774 steals/81 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (5,770 rebounds/159 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets have 648 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams
The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 49% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Rockets have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,796 rebounds/77 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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