Thunder vs Rockets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 1

min read
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 02, 2024, 12:00 AM
  • The Thunder are -1.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDOK | SCHN

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Thunder vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 11-8 against the spread, while the Rockets are 14-6 against the spread.


Bet now on Rockets vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Thunder vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder O
Houston Rockets U

Rockets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 68.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Rockets.

Rockets vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.


Bet now on Rockets vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 89 games (+14.79 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 91 games (+12.80 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 71 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.70 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 games (+18.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 44 games (+16.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.23 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.24 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+10.50 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 11-8 (+2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI).

  • 15-4 against the Moneyline (+2.1 Units / 2.7% ROI)
  • 8-11 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI)
  • 11-8 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 14-6 (+7.4 Units / 33.64% ROI).

  • 14-6 against the Moneyline (+0.05 Units / 0.1% ROI)
  • 9-10 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -9.09% ROI)
  • 10-9 against the Under for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-16.75 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 84 games (-14.82 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-14.45 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 59 games (-14.37 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 42 games at home (-13.95 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-19.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 71 games (-18.83 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 89 games (-18.65 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 87 games (-16.15 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 75 games (-15.55 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets

The Thunder are 21-8 (.724) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Thunder are 25-7 (.781) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder are 47-9 (.839) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Rockets are 3-22 (.120) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-best in the NBA.

The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Rockets are 2-22 (.083) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354

The Rockets are 20-10 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 3.6 (40 assists/ 11 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (450 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets have averaged 22.4 offensive rebounds per game (404 rebounds/18 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3

The Rockets have averaged 1.07 points per shot (221 points/206 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Rockets have 404 offensive rebounds this season — most among NBA teams

The Rockets have an eFG% of 45% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.4 steals per game (199 steals/16 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have 199 steals this season — most among NBA teams

The Thunder averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Thunder have averaged 9.6 steals per game (451 steals/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Rockets have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (687 rebounds/18 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 47% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Rockets have allowed an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%


Bet now on Rockets vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.