- The Thunder are -1.5 favorites vs. the Rockets
- Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
- Watch the game on FDOK | SCHN
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Houston, TX.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Thunder vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 11-8 against the spread, while the Rockets are 14-6 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | O | ||
Houston Rockets | U |
Rockets vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 68.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Rockets.
Rockets vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Rockets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.
Bet now on Rockets vs Thunder and all NBA games with BetMGM
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 89 games (+14.79 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 91 games (+12.80 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 71 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 away games (+8.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 46 games (+18.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the Spread in 31 of their last 44 games (+16.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.23 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.24 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+10.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 11-8 (+2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI).
- 15-4 against the Moneyline (+2.1 Units / 2.7% ROI)
- 8-11 against the Over for game total points (-4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI)
- 11-8 against the Under for game total points (+2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 14-6 (+7.4 Units / 33.64% ROI).
- 14-6 against the Moneyline (+0.05 Units / 0.1% ROI)
- 9-10 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -9.09% ROI)
- 10-9 against the Under for game total points (+0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 40 games at home (-16.75 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 84 games (-14.82 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 82 games (-14.45 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 59 games (-14.37 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 42 games at home (-13.95 Units / -29% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-19.90 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 71 games (-18.83 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 89 games (-18.65 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 87 games (-16.15 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 75 games (-15.55 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Houston Rockets
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Thunder are 21-8 (.724) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
The Thunder are 25-7 (.781) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .568
The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Thunder are 47-9 (.839) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Rockets are 3-22 (.120) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have shot 38% from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-4th-best in the NBA.
The Rockets were 2-19 (.095) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Rockets are 2-22 (.083) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354
The Rockets are 20-10 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 3.6 (40 assists/ 11 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (450 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 22.4 offensive rebounds per game (404 rebounds/18 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.3
The Rockets have averaged 1.07 points per shot (221 points/206 shots) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32
The Rockets have 404 offensive rebounds this season — most among NBA teams
The Rockets have an eFG% of 45% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 12.4 steals per game (199 steals/16 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder have 199 steals this season — most among NBA teams
The Thunder averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Thunder have averaged 9.6 steals per game (451 steals/47 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,974 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Rockets have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (687 rebounds/18 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Rockets have allowed a TS% of 47% this season — 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Rockets have allowed an eFG% of 49% this season — tied for best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
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