- The Thunder are -5.5 favorites vs. the Suns
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN | KTVK | BSOK
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Footprint Center to take on the Phoenix Suns on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Phoenix, AZ.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Thunder vs Suns Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 37-21 against the spread, while the Suns are 24-34 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Suns Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -5.5 -110 | O 233.5 -110 | -225 |
Phoenix Suns | +5.5 -110 | U 233.5 -110 | +180 |
Suns vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 69.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Suns.
Suns vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Suns will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.3% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 63 games (+15.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 67 games (+15.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 63 games (+13.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 45 of their last 76 games (+13.25 Units / 16% ROI)
Suns Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 59 of their last 89 games (+26.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 games at home (+23.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 88 games (+22.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have covered the 3Q Spread in 54 of their last 90 games (+15.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.70 Units / 29% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 37-21 (+13.85 Units / 21.34% ROI).
- 41-18 against the Moneyline (+10.6 Units / 6.45% ROI)
- 32-23 against the Over for game total points (+6.7 Units / 10.31% ROI)
- 23-32 against the Under for game total points (-12.1 Units / -18.67% ROI)
Phoenix Suns Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Suns have gone 24-34 (-13.65 Units / -20.57% ROI).
- 35-25 against the Moneyline (-7.75 Units / -5.22% ROI)
- 27-33 against the Over for game total points (-9.3 Units / -14.09% ROI)
- 33-27 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units / 5% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Suns:
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 87 games (-37.40 Units / -39% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 89 games (-35.70 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 87 games (-33.65 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 90 games (-33.15 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Phoenix Suns have only covered the Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-22.35 Units / -23% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 56 games (-19.35 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-18.75 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 74 games (-15.85 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-15.65 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 48 games (-13.70 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Phoenix Suns
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Phoenix Suns Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Phoenix Suns
The Thunder are undefeated (12-0) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647
The Thunder were 3-4 (.429) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Thunder are 13-5 (.722) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .580
The Thunder are 1-3 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394
Phoenix Suns: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Suns are winless (0-13) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .089
The Suns were 29-16 (.644) when they win the turnover margin last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Suns are 11-2 (.846) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573
The Suns are 12-4 (.750) when they win the turnover margin this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
Injury Report: Suns vs. Thunder – Sunday‘s Game, Mar. 3
- Jusuf Nurkic (Phoenix Suns): Ankle, Out
- Bradley Beal (Phoenix Suns): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
- Damion Lee (Phoenix Suns): Knee, Out
- Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder are shooting 41% from three (369/893) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%
The Thunder have a TS% of 55% in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have averaged 10.9 second chance points per game (580 points/53 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.9
The Thunder have averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (273 points/26 games) on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
Phoenix Suns Offensive Stats & Trends
The Suns averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (431 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7
The Suns have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (153 assists/ 121 TOs) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Suns have averaged 1.37 points per shot (6,222 points/4,545 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Suns have an eFG% of 57% this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have allowed 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (519 rebounds/53 games) in the first half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0
The Thunder averaged 34.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,811 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Thunder have allowed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (1,253 rebounds/135 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.0
The Thunder averaged 4.2 blocks per game (341 blocks/82 games) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Phoenix Suns Defensive Stats & Trends
The Suns have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (316 blocks/53 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Suns have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,895 rebounds/53 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Suns blocked 432 shots last season — 5th most among NBA teams
The Suns averaged 5.3 blocks per game (432 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
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