- The Thunder are -7.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max
The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Minneapolis, MN, USA.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Thunder vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 221.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 32-18 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 23-30 against the spread.
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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Oklahoma City Thunder | -7.5 -110 | O 221.5 -105 | -300 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | +7.5 -110 | U 221.5 -115 | +240 |
Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Timberwolves.
Timberwolves vs Thunder Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 85 games (+22.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 away games (+18.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 68 games (+17.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 39 away games (+14.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 27 games (+13.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 56 of their last 90 games (+16.48 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 55 of their last 100 games (+10.07 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 32-18 (+12.2 Units / 20.54% ROI).
- 44-10 against the Moneyline (+15 Units / 5.05% ROI)
- 29-24 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 4.38% ROI)
- 24-29 against the Under for game total points (-7.9 Units / -13.3% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 23-30 (-10.05 Units / -16.6% ROI).
- 30-25 against the Moneyline (-22.75 Units / -16.07% ROI)
- 29-26 against the Over for game total points (+0.4 Units / 0.66% ROI)
- 26-29 against the Under for game total points (-5.9 Units / -9.75% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 97 games (-44.50 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 65 games (-30.80 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 38 of their last 98 games (-28.10 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 95 games (-26.20 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the Spread in 15 of their last 50 games at home (-21.30 Units / -39% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 70 games (-16.65 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.40 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games (-14.20 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 81 games (-13.18 Units / -14% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 26 games (-12.80 Units / -45% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Player Injuries for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
The Thunder are 17-4 (.810) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .440
The Thunder are 32-4 (.889) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532
The Thunder are 40-6 (.870) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .638
The Thunder are 70-31 (.693) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .489
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Timberwolves were 48-20 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511
The Timberwolves were 1-10 (.091) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
The Timberwolves are 33-19 (.635) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540
The Timberwolves were 24-10 (.706) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Thunder have 19.5 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have averaged 11.7 fast break points per game (327 points/28 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.7
The Timberwolves averaged 12.4 fast break points per game (1,016 points/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Timberwolves have averaged 11.9 fast break points per game (819 points/69 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.2
The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (819/2,157) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 11.1 steals per game (586 steals/53 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3
The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (874/2,044) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (1,280 steals/135 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%
The Timberwolves averaged 6.0 blocks per game (496 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%
The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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