Thunder vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 23

  • The Thunder are -9.5 favorites vs. the Timberwolves
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | FDOK | FDSN

The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Minneapolis, MN, USA.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Thunder vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 227.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Thunder are 33-19 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 24-31 against the spread.


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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Oklahoma City Thunder-8.5 -110O 227.5 -110-375
Minnesota Timberwolves +8.5 -110U 227.5 -110+290

Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Thunder and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 65.4% confidence.


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  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 87 games (+18.95 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 43 of their last 70 games (+17.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 33 away games (+16.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 41 away games (+12.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 27 away games (+11.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 57 of their last 92 games (+16.33 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+9.38 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 49 of their last 90 games (+8.72 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 33-19 (+12.1 Units / 19.64% ROI).

  • 45-11 against the Moneyline (+11.7 Units / 3.73% ROI)
  • 30-25 against the Over for game total points (+2.5 Units / 4.06% ROI)
  • 25-30 against the Under for game total points (-8 Units / -12.99% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 24-31 (-10.15 Units / -16.18% ROI).

  • 31-26 against the Moneyline (-20.25 Units / -14.1% ROI)
  • 30-27 against the Over for game total points (+0.3 Units / 0.48% ROI)
  • 27-30 against the Under for game total points (-6 Units / -9.57% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 44 of their last 99 games (-43.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 67 games (-28.30 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 100 games (-28.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 97 games (-25.55 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the Spread in 16 of their last 50 games at home (-19.20 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 72 games (-18.95 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 52 games (-14.55 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 37 games (-14.30 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 78 games (-13.07 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 28 games (-12.90 Units / -42% ROI)

Jump to:

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Thunder are 22-3 (.880) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Thunder are 17-4 (.810) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Thunder are 73-19 (.793) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

The Thunder are 32-5 (.865) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .530

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Timberwolves are 63-17 (.788) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .658

The Timberwolves are 10-7 (.588) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .438

The Timberwolves were 45-23 (.662) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .487

The Timberwolves were 29-11 (.725) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (1,115 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 11.8 fast break points per game (829 points/70 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves have averaged 11.6 fast break points per game (337 points/29 games) at home this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.7

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (902/2,389) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have averaged 10.9 steals per game (590 steals/54 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have allowed an eFG% of 51% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,284 steals/136 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 52% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 48% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves have blocked 773 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th most among NBA teams

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%


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